Ranking the Top-Tier WRs on FanDuel
As I started creating my lineups for Thursday contests, I noticed a couple of things. 1) There are a lot of great WR plays this week and 2) A lot of those WRs are grouped in the same price-point. Some of these receivers appear to be so close, it’s a headahce to figure out which one to play. In this article, I will look closely at the numbers to determine which WRs in the top-tier price point are the best plays.
Antonio Brown $9,100
Demaryius Thomas $9,000
Calvin Johnson $8,800
Jeremy Maclin $8,700
Randall Cobb $8,600
Jordy Nelson $8,500
1) Jordy Nelson – I wrote in an article early this week that Jordy Nelson is by far the most highly targeted Packer, drawing 78 targets to Randall Cobb’s 55. Nelson also has had 10 receptions in each of the Packers last two meetings with the Bears. Cobb may have outplayed Nelson the past two weeks, but there’s no reason to think Nelson still isn’t #1. With the Packers projected to score more than any other team in football, it’s easy to take their best WR, especially at this price.
2) Antonio Brown – The highest targeted receiver in the NFL has been targeted 103 times in 9 games this season. His name? Antonio Brown. It’s hard to make an argument against Brown as a top 3 WR in the NFL after what he’s done this season, and he draws a cake matchup with the Jets on Sunday that have fantasy players drooling. While Vegas projects the Steelers to score 24.5 points, our sportsbook projection tool estimates their pass point share to be up there with teams the Broncos and Saints.
3) Demaryius Thomas – Having lost to New England last week, the race for the #1 seed in the AFC is on. This game will not be taken lightly by the Broncos and Peyton Manning is going to make sure they come out of this one with a win. Vegas projects Denver to score over 30 points, and I think a lot of it comes through the air even though most teams have beaten the Raiders on the ground. Emmanuel Sanders has been great, but Thomas is still Denver’s #1 and has out-targeted Sanders 87-76 this season.
4) Calvin Johnson – My guess is Johnson is basically healthy which means he should return to being one of the top receivers in the NFL. Miami’s D has been solid this season, but they are actually in the bottom 10 in fantasy points given up to #1 WRs. I especially like Johnson as a GPP play, since the 3 players above and Randall Cobb will certainly be used more than Johnson, even though Johnson has the highest upside out of all of them.
5) Randall Cobb – This just goes to show how good Aaron Rodgers is as a play this week. Two of his WRs are two of the highest salary WRs this week and they both rank as top 5 plays. While I like Nelson better than Cobb, I still really like Cobb. He has 2 TDs in each of his last two contests vs the Bears.
6) Jeremy Maclin – Maclin is ranked last out of all these receivers, but I still think he’s a great play. Carolina has been an overall terrible defense this year and Maclin should have an easy time against them. I rank him last out of this group for two reasons: 1) Mark Sanchez is now the starter, and this may hurt Maclin’s production since Nick Foles loved to just throw it up to Maclin even when he was covered and 2) Maclin is not as good of a receiver as any of the above, so even in such a good matchup I have trouble listing him above anyone here. Still, I think he’s a viable play in cash games and GPPs alike.View all posts by Max J Steinberg