NFL Snap Count Trends Week 15

  • Toby Gerhart started for Denard Robinson, getting only 28/69 snaps. Gerhart was almost out-snapped by Jordan Todman, who played nearly exclusively on passing downs. Storm Johnson was also in the mix. The Jaguars have not had a lead back with a large workload all season, but they were also behind for most of the game. Gerhart is likely to play in the 50-65% of snap range in a game where the Jaguars have a lead this week against a bad Titans defense.


  • Torrey Smith played full snaps this week despite injury concerns, although he was barely productive. With that said, we shouldn’t have many concerns heading into Week 16 with regards to workload and performance.


  • As expected, Jeremy Hill got the majority of snaps for the Bengals, playing 47/75. It was not a large workload, but the Bengals did completely blow out the Browns, so I think 70% of snaps next week seems like a reasonable estimate.


  • The Vikings said they would decrease Matt Asiata’s workload, and did slightly, as Asiata played only 46/70 snaps. It’s not a huge issue, but it does decrease Asiata’s value a bit.


  • DeVier Posey got full snaps at WR2 filling in for Andre Johnson. This is pretty much irrelevant in a very bad Texans passing offense.


  • For some bizarre reason, despite Dan Herron getting the majority of snaps the week prior, Trent Richardson started for the Colts and got the majority of snaps at RB. Richardson has been awful this season, so the Colts RB situation is back to completely unplayable.


  • Jonas Gray came back into the Patriots RB picture in the 2nd half and ended up out-snapping LeGarrette Blount. Blount got the goal line carries though, so neither player seems worth a play next week, especially against a great Jets run defense.


  • Preston Parker overtook Rueben Randle for WR2 on the depth chart.  This is mostly irrelevant due to Odell Beckham dominating the passing game.


  • Brandon Oliver started for the injured Ryan Matthews but only played 26/66 snaps. Donald Brown played almost exclusively on passing downs, so it’s reasonable to expect Oliver to have a larger workload when the Chargers are winning the game.


  • Despite Frank Gore’s midgame injury, Carlos Hyde did not see an increased workload with Alfonso Smith getting in the mix. If Gore is out this week, it’s hard to tell if what type of workload we will see from either player.

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Daniel Steinberg

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Daniel Steinberg Daniel Steinberg is a former bond trader at a multi-billion dollar proprietary trading firm in Chicago. He uses his knowledge of statistics and his creativity from his career as a poker professional to create the most advanced Daily Fantasy statistical analysis that you will find anywhere. Follow him on twitter @DanielSingerS

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