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NFL Snap Count Trends Week 14

  • We are seeing a true timeshare at RB in Cincinnati, as Gio Bernard and Jeremy Hill split snaps down the middle for the second week in a row. This should continue unless one strongly breaks out.

 

  • Donte Moncrief is getting big time increased snaps, with a season high 50/83 last week. The Colts were down for a lot of the game, so we probably shouldn’t expect much more than 50% in any given game for Moncrief, but he’s taken over as WR3.

 

  • On the same team, Dan Herron took the majority of snaps at RB, despite a revenge game for Trent Richardson. It was still only 49/83 for Herron, but I expect a small increase next week against the Texans, as Richardson probably got a bit more playing time against his former team.

 

  • Despite rumors Terrance West may barely play at all, he lead the Browns in RB snaps with 36/68. Isaiah Crowell led the way the previous 3 games, but he was hindered by a hip injury that may have been more severe than he let on. It’s unclear if this is the reason Crowell got a smaller workload this week, but my guess is he returns to 60-70% of snaps next week.

 

  • Keshawn Martin played a lot more snaps with the in game injury of Andre Johnson. With the Texans being one of the most run heavy teams in the league, Martin is unlikely to be a good fantasy play, but this development likely helps DeAndre Hopkins production on an untalented receiving core.

 

  • The Jets are splitting time at RB between Chris Ivory, Bilal Powell, and Chris Johnson. Johnson has been getting more work in the latter half of the season, but Ivory is clearly the best runner of the bunch. With a good run matchup this week, I’d consider Ivory or Johnson, but neither play enough to be considered elite.

 

  • Jonathan Stewart got true RB1 work this week, playing 55/72 snaps. Carolina has a pretty poor offensive line, but Stewart should be a solid play this week if Deangelo Williams continues to be out.

 

  • Derek Hagan played WR2 with both Kendall Wright and Justin Hunter out, while Nate Washington got WR1 snaps. The matchup against the Jets next week is very good for the passing game, but expect Delanie Walker to benefit most from the weak receiving core.

 

  • Jordan Reed played full snaps with Desean Jackson out with a bruised leg. Reed didn’t do much, but with a better matchup this week against the Giants, we could see Reed with a big game. Reed had been around 50% of snaps the whole season.

 

  • Like Reed, Travis Kelce had been getting around a 50% workload most of the season, but has been playing full time the past 4 weeks.

 

  • No Cardinals RB got a lot of snaps, but Kerwynn Williams was the most successful and got the most snaps at 26/72. Expect Williams to be the lead back next week if Andre Ellington is out against, but a 50% snap count would be a generous prediction.

 

  • Fred Jackson has gotten over 75% of snaps the past two weeks. C.J. Spiller will not return until Week 16 at the earliest, so Jackson is a strong play next week against the Packers. The only negative for Jackson is that the Bills offensive line is one of the worst in the league.

 

  • It was the Latavius Murray show for Oakland this week, who took over the lead RB job after returning from injury and got 54/66 snaps. Murray did not start the game, but should start next week against a very weak Chiefs run defense. Unfortunately, the Raiders are double digit underdogs and have one of the worst offensive lines in football, so Murray is a risky play.

 

  • Legarrette Blount continues to be the only Patriot who is running the ball, getting 32/78 snaps. Blount’s workload should scale with the Patriots scoring margin, which is likely to be high this week as 8 point favorites at home against the Dolphins.

View all posts by Daniel Steinberg
Daniel Steinberg

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Daniel Steinberg Daniel Steinberg is a former bond trader at a multi-billion dollar proprietary trading firm in Chicago. He uses his knowledge of statistics and his creativity from his career as a poker professional to create the most advanced Daily Fantasy statistical analysis that you will find anywhere. Follow him on twitter @DanielSingerS

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