NFL Snap Count Trends Week 12

  • We’re finally seeing a full workload for TE Travis Kelce, who played nearly every snap last week. Kelce has been producing at a high level despite only playing about half of snaps, so this playing time increase should bode well for Kelce’s production. Frankie Hammond ran the most pass routes for the Chiefs last week, but did nothing with them. He seems like a deep sleeper play in a good pass matchup with the Broncos (Deep sleeper being the key term).
  • Marcel Reece got an unusual workload, playing exclusively at RB for the end of the Raiders game and ending up with 33 out of 69 snaps. A lot of pundits think very highly of Reece, and he’s been great when he’s played. Keep an eye out for any news with regards to Reece’s playing time.
  • Despite Terrance West getting more carries than Isaiah Crowell, Crowell ran much better than West and got a bigger workload, 47 vs 31 snaps out of 78 total. The workload is not great for Crowell and he is no longer a strong play for his salary. Josh Gordon played #1 WR snaps and is back by all accounts.
  • Fred Jackson lead the Bills backfield in snaps, 33/67, but it is a pretty crowded time share with Anthony Dixon and Bryce Brown both playing well. If Jackson’s salary gets low enough he could be a good play in a good matchup.
  • Strangely, after great performances from Jeremy Hill, Giovani Bernard regained his starting RB position, playing 52/83 snaps. His snaps are not safe with such a great backup behind him, but he is certainly worth a GPP play in a good matchup.
  • Marcedes Lewis is back, but only ran 17 pass routes on 31 passing plays. Could see a larger workload next week in a good matchup against the Giants.
  • Trent Richardson did get a larger workload than Dan Herron, out snapping Herron 42 to 33, but failed to make a reception. Richardson still seems to be the stronger play of the two, but it seems the Colts like having two RBs who split time, and that means neither guy is too good. Coby Fleener saw an increased workload, running a pass route on about 80% of pass plays, up from his 60% average this season.
  • Eddie Lacy and C.J. Anderson have moved into Matt Forte workload territory, both playing nearly every snap in their respective games. Workload for RBs is really important for production, so put these two guys in the top of the fantasy RB rankings.
  • The most unexpected move of the week was WR Charles Johnson moving past both Greg Jennings and Cordarelle Patterson in the depth charts and becoming the Vikings WR1. Johnson is now a solid fantasy play, while Patterson has moved down to WR3 on the depth charts. Jerick McKinnon did not see an increased workload in Matt Asiata’s absence, as Joe Barnyard saw a lot of passing down work.
  • Legarrette Blount saw only 17 snaps in last weeks game, but was the main RB in the Patriots win over the Lions. The Patriots running game has been remarkably effective in the past two games, but I’m unconvinced that Jonas Gray stays off the field. The best value in the Patriots backfield right now is Shane Vereen, with the former two having large salaries on FanDuel.
  • Stedman Bailey was a breakout performer last week, showing great rapport with new QB Shaun Hill. Bailey ran the 2nd most pass routes on the team, so he is in play this week in a great matchup against the Raiders.
  • Despite Julius Thomas’ absence, Jacob Tamme barely played, with only 23/77 snaps. The Broncos struggled against a good Rams pass rush the week prior, and it’s plausible that the Broncos simply wanted to shore up their blocking. Without TEs running pass routes, Demaryius Thomas should continue to benefit in the red zone.
  • As expected, Kenny Stills moved into the WR2 role for the Saints in Brandin Cooks absence and performed superbly. It’s worth noting Nick Toon got a lot of playing time in the slot, and could be worth a look at min salary. Pierre Thomas returned and saw a lot of passing down work.

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Daniel Steinberg

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Daniel Steinberg Daniel Steinberg is a former bond trader at a multi-billion dollar proprietary trading firm in Chicago. He uses his knowledge of statistics and his creativity from his career as a poker professional to create the most advanced Daily Fantasy statistical analysis that you will find anywhere. Follow him on twitter @DanielSingerS

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