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NFL Playing Time Watch

Looking at Week 8 snap counts to find value for NFL Week 9.

  • Steven Jackson had a season high 50% of snaps, having a solid fantasy day with 60 yards and a TD. The snap increase is kind of surprising but sensible since the Falcons were up on the Lions most of the game, but Jackson had only a 20-30% workload the entire season. Something to keep an eye on.

 

  • Jonathan Stewart saw what is probably a career high 57/62 snaps for the Panthers. With such a massive amount of injuries to the Panthers backfield, Stewart is in must play territory this week if Deangelo Williams does not return. Stewart’s workload percentage was the highest of the week among RBs.

 

  • Tavon Austin continues to see a steady trend-line up, with just over 60% of snaps this week. The Rams don’t have a good matchup for weeks, but he’s worth keeping an eye on.

 

  • As I figured in my article last weekShane Vereen got less than 50% of snaps, with Jonas Gray getting about the same and James White getting the rest of the work. Gray did not play that well, so I wouldn’t expect much of a playtime increase next week, but moving forward if he’s productive he’ll be able to get about 60% of snaps on a good day.

 

  • Despite reports of a running back by committee approach, Anthony Dixon got a lead back workload with 43/57 snaps. Dixon was quite bad but the Jets are a tough run defense the Bills won the game so I imagine we keep seeing a lot of Dixon unless Bryce Brown starts blowing people away.

 

  • Bobby Rainey played most of the snaps at the end of the game for the Buccaneers, out snapping Doug Martin 35 to 24 for the whole game. Keep an eye on news regarding the RB situation for the Bucs. Rainey has shown a lot in games he has played so he could be good fantasy value.

 

  • Despite Shonn Greene returning from injury, he only got 2 snaps and Bishop Sankey got 33/61.  Sankey has not been productive so far since he got the starting job but you can imagine moving forward we could see real value there.

 

  • With Darren Sproles out, LeSean McCoy got a massive workload playing 80/94 snaps ( Remarkable given how the Eagles ran twice as many plays as some teams this week). This is well above the approximately 65% McCoy is usually around. It looks like when Sproles is out, we should expect a lot more production from McCoy, despite a below average fantasy day with that workload.

 

  • Hakeem Nicks saw WR2 snaps, but was outplayed by Donte Moncrief, who had a monster fantasy day and played a career high 41/67 snaps. I think if Wayne remains out we will see Moncrief starting, not Nicks. With a top 3 fantasy QB like Andrew Luck at the helm, really anyone getting snaps at WR on the Colts is going to be productive.

 

  • Jimmy Graham was not as limited this week as last week, increasing his snap percentage from about 40% to 60%. With a short week he still should be a bit limited, with 70% of snaps being a reasonable prediction. He is certainly still hurting and will need more time before he’s 100%.

 

  • A lot of people are going to look at Mark Ingram’s performance and workload and think how great of a play he is moving forward, and he definitely is. But an under the radar star is Travaris Cadet as long as Pierre Thomas doesn’t return from injuryCadet only ran the ball once for 7 yards and caught 4 passes for 40 yards, but the guy only played 14 plays. With the Saints so productive on offense and having such a big lead Cadet rarely saw the field. But for someone who has less than 2 games worth of playing time to have 20 catches for 174 yards and a TD is quite remarkable. I think in more reasonable games we’ll see a 40-50% workload from Cadet, as the Saints are the most pass first team in the league, and Cadet will see the field a ton if the Saints get down early.

View all posts by Daniel Steinberg
Daniel Steinberg

About the Author

Daniel Steinberg Daniel Steinberg is a former bond trader at a multi-billion dollar proprietary trading firm in Chicago. He uses his knowledge of statistics and his creativity from his career as a poker professional to create the most advanced Daily Fantasy statistical analysis that you will find anywhere. Follow him on twitter @DanielSingerS

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