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NBA Picks 3/3/15

It’s a small slate today with a ton of huge injury impacts, so it should be a day where we need a very good lineup to win. It goes without saying I like LeBron James tonight, especially with Kyrie Irving questionable, but that requires little explanation. Below are my sans-LeBron favorite picks of the day.

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (FD 6000, DK 6100)

Small Forward is jam packed today with extremely good values, including Corey Brewer who is probably going to start for the suspended James Harden and should have a huge role in the Rockets offense. However, I may end up not playing Brewer just because Kidd-Gilchrist’s value is too much to pass up. MKG has always been a productive player, but he’s been sporadic in the minutes department until recently. In the past 3 games, he’s averaged nearly 38 minutes a game. He also draws a dream matchup against the Lakers, who play Ryan Kelly at SF, one of the worst defenders in the league. It feels criminal not playing Brewer, but I may be rolling out Lebron and MKG lineups tonight on FanDuel.

Demarcus Cousins (FD 10900, DK 9800)

He is probable tonight, and after only missing a few games it seems likely he’s in for a full workload. On DraftKings his salary is ridiculous so you pretty much have to play him, but on FanDuel he is quite a bit higher and more of a question mark. But New York has one of the worst front courts in the league, and it’s easy to imagine Cousins tearing them to shreds. With so many good value plays at other positions, it makes sense to spend up on Cousins to give you room to save elsewhere.

Giannis Antetokoumpo (FD 6400, DK 7100)

The Greek Freak doesn’t have anything going for him besides a juicy matchup against Denver, but his salary is also quite reasonable on FanDuel at a pretty weak SG position. Denver has been a bad fantasy defense all year, but they should be worse with Jusuf Nurkic, who was easily their best defender, out for an extended period of time. Denver also gives up the 3rd most defensive fantasy points in the league, which accounts for 43% of Antetokoumpo’s total fantasy output, which is quite high for a guard. It’s an ideal matchup and Giannis should thrive.

Mo Williams (FD 6600, DK 7000)

Williams has been on fire recently and subsequently his salary has followed, coming up over $1000 in the past couple days. But Williams is still under valued in my opinion. His USG% has been off the charts since joining Charlotte, and it’s been even higher in the past 3 games, eclipsing 30%. That is higher than both Steph Curry and Damian Lillard’s USG% on the season, and on par with Lamarcus Aldridge and James Harden. It’s hard to believe that an old guy like Mo Williams could be that good of a fantasy player, but with Kemba Walker out and Al Jefferson not looking like his old self, the Hornets are Mo William’s team. Going against the Lakers who give up the most fantasy points to point guards by a mile, William’s is an incredibly easy play.

 

View all posts by Daniel Steinberg
Daniel Steinberg

About the Author

Daniel Steinberg Daniel Steinberg is a former bond trader at a multi-billion dollar proprietary trading firm in Chicago. He uses his knowledge of statistics and his creativity from his career as a poker professional to create the most advanced Daily Fantasy statistical analysis that you will find anywhere. Follow him on twitter @DanielSingerS

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