Jazz vs. Lakers Loaded with Fantastic DraftKings Plays
The Utah Jazz travel to the Los Angeles Lakers for the final contest of NBA Friday. These two franchises are a combined 24-43, and the Lakers are on a six-game losing streak.
But even though the over/under is 196, with Los Angeles being a 3.5-point favorite and Jordan Farmar out with a hamstring injury, there are an ample amount of great value plays on both squads.
Let’s first take a look at the Lakers’ projected starting lineup: PG Marshall, SG Meeks, SF Young, PF Williams, C Gasol.
First and foremost, Kendall Marshall at $3,000 is an absolute must start. With Farmar, Steve Nash, Steve Blake, Kobe Bryant and Xavier Henry all sidelined (yes that many), Marshall is going to get a lot of minutes in his first start of the season. Marshall didn’t even begin the year on the Lakers, but was signed about a week before Christmas because the injuries started piling up. He hadn’t been getting much playing time, but he saw 17 minutes versus the 76ers and 28 minutes against the Bucks. In those 45 minutes, Marshall has put up 36.75 FPTS. More specifically, he’s recorded 18 points (4-of-7 from three), 10 assists and three rebounds. Going against a weak defense in the Jazz (27th in opp FG percentage) and a rookie in Trey Burke who has given up a lot of FPTS to opposing point guards (Utah ranks 28th in FPTS allowed to PGs), Marshall is easily due for over 20 FPTS. But if Marshall has a great game, he could eclipse the 30 FPT-mark.
Nick Young is the other Laker worth playing at $5,600. Interestingly, the Jazz give up the third-least FPTS to small forwards. So why Young? Not only are all those Lakers backcourt players injured, Young is on an absolute scoring terror. Since he’s averaged 33.4 minutes in his last nine games, he’s also scored 21.9 points. When you factor in that Bryant, Farmar and Henry all played a handful of games during that stretch, you know Young is nearly a lock to drop over 20 points. The only downside is that Young has somewhat of a limited ceiling. Young has pulled down six boards in each of his last two games, but he’s only averaging 2.5 rebounds and 1.4 assists on the year. So, even though he’s getting a few more stats outside of points as of late, he’s averaged 28.2 FPTS during this nine-game stretch. I think Young will surpass the 30-FPT mark, but don’t expect over 40.
Pau Gasol at $6,700 isn’t too shabby either. The Jazz are 23rd in rebounding and 22nd in points allowed to centers. Gasol has posted at least 38.75 FPTS in four of his last five matchups. Another 35-40 FPTS tonight wouldn’t surprise me.
Outside of these guys, I’d recommend staying away from all the Lakers’ power forwards. It’s simply too difficult to tell what Mike D-Antonio will do as far as minutes regardless of who starts. Jodie Meeks is too reliable on three-point shooting for fantasy value at $5,200.
As for the Jazz starting five, it shouldn’t change from the usual: PG Burke, SG Hayward, SF Jefferson, PF Williams, C Favors.
With this in mind, Burke is a legitimate play at $6,100. I actually suspect this won’t get a lot of action since Burke has only had one monster game, which came against the Magic about three weeks ago. However, we are starting to see some consistency out of the rookie who has played between 26 and 36 minutes the last six games and has averaged 28 FPTS during this run. He’s also forcing one steal and dishing out 5.5 assists in the last four games. As shown before, the Lakers are also extremely banged up in the backcourt and Marshall will be making his first start of the year. The Lakers are giving up the 10th-most points to point guards as it is and LA turns it over 15.2 times (sixth most). Burke should easily go over 30 FPTS, but there is also great potential for him to go over 40.
The other guy I’d consider is Derrick Favors, despite being $7,000. Favors has been fairly inconsistent, but the one thing about Favors is that he dominates against the favorable fantasy matchups. The Lakers allow the second-most FPTS to centers and Favors went for 40.5 FPTS against them on Dec. 27. He also put up 44.25 FPTS in his last game against the Bucks, who allow the most FPTS to centers. He only had 19.25 FPTS against the Clippers (third-most FPTS allowed to centers), but that’s because Favors was in foul trouble all game and only logged 22 minutes. Big men have been feasting on the Lakers all season and since Favors has been up and down at times, he could be a great play that most may not see.
Gordon Hayward could have a 40 FPTS night, but more often than not, he’s going to be in the 30s and that’s worthy of someone with a $7,500. Anyone else on Utah, mainly speaking about Marvin Williams and Alec Burks, are too much of a gamble.
Best of luck.
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