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DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Match-up Breakdown 8/12

Tonight has a huge slate of games, with a lot of great match-ups for hitters. My strategy for evaluating match-ups is a combination of our pitcher handedness splits, player projections (which you can find under the tools tab), and GB/FB ratios. I’m not going to go through every pitcher, just the juiciest.

 

Yohan Flande (opponent – Padres): Flande throws mostly a combination of sinkers and sliders, meaning righties should to quite well against him. He’s also an extreme ground ball pitcher.

Target: Rene Rivera (Fanduel – $2,400 DraftKings $2,200) – Most players just ignore all Padres, especially no-name catchers like Rivera. However, he has a dream matchup as a fly ball hitting righty. Especially on DraftKings, he’s nice play. Jedd Gyorko is also a nice play.

 

Jeremy Hellickson (opponent – Rangers): Hellickson throws mostly 4-seams and change-ups, with a few two seams. Righties should actually be fine against him. He is an extreme fly-ball pitcher.

Target: Elvis Andrus (Fanduel – $2,600 DraftKings $3,700) –  Andrus is an extreme GB hitter and facing a righty who doesn’t dominate righties should actually help Andrus, who gets a lot of value from stealing bases.

 

Josh Collmenter (opponent – Indians): Collmenter is a cutter, change-up dominant pitcher, which means his splits are probably neutral. He is an extreme fly-ball pitcher. He is also a tall pitcher, and Montero is DHing, which means he will probably be poor against SBs.

Target: Jose Ramirez (Fanduel – $2,400 DraftKings $2,100) – It’s absolutely amazing value for Ramirez on DraftKings. He’s a GB hitter and should steal bases off the Collmenter-Pacheco battery.

 

Joe Kelly (opponent – Reds): Kelly throws almost exclusively two-seams, which means lefties should do very well against him. He also is a GB pitcher.

Target: Jay Bruce (Fanduel – $3000 DraftKings – $4,200) – This is a dream match-up for Bruce, who is my top pick tonight. He’s a 1.03 FP/$1000 in our FanDuel projections, and is a fly-ball hitting lefty. I’d be shocked if he has a bad game.

 

Yohan Pino (opponent – Astros): Pino is a 4-seam dominant player who throws a few two-seams and sliders. He’s also an extreme FB pitcher, and terrible.

Target: Everyone –  I don’t think there’s a particular player who will do well, but all the Astros should benefit from this match-up so just pick the best value. Robbie Grossman comes to mind.

 

Jared Cosart (opponent – Cardinals): Cosart throws a cutter, 4-seam and curve and almost non two-seams or sliders. Righties should actually do well against him, and the stats back it up. Cosart has reverse splits in his career. He’s also an extreme ground-ball pitcher.

Target: Jhonny Peralta (Fanduel $2,700 DraftKings $3,700) – Peralta is cheap, especially on Fanduel, and is a fly-ball-ish hitting righty. The Cardinals are expected to do quite well tonight and SS is a thin position. He comes in at a .81 FP/$1000.

View all posts by Max J Steinberg
Max J Steinberg

About the Author

Max J Steinberg Max Steinberg is a professional poker player and a top Daily Fantasy player who uses his creativity and mathematical abilities he cultivated as a poker player to win money on both DraftKings and FanDuel. He already has several big tournament scores to his name including the Victiv Bowl and countless MLB Monster wins. Follow him on twitter @maxjsteinberg.

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