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Daily Fantasy Game Reviews: Rams at Eagles, Bears at Panthers

Rams at Eagles

Game Summary:

Eagles:

  • Zach Ertz has seen his snaps steadily go down in recent weeks, with a season low 40% last week. Ertz has been fine this season, but not the breakout star people expected. Unless we see him on the field more I wouldn’t play him.
  • You can see how explosive LeSean McCoy is in space, but it’s just not coming a lot without Evan Mathis and Jason Kelce. Lane Johnson should improve after only one game coming back from suspension. But until Mathis returns, I think we should use McCoy in exceptional matchups only.
  • Jeremy Maclin kept his 10+ targets streak alive this week. People may forget that Maclin is a former first round pick with 4.4 speed, and he’s looked really impressive this year. He’s just been often injured, so he’s off peoples radars. I think this guy is a fantastic WR play every single week.
  • Nick Foles, despite an incredible year last year, just looks terrible so far this year. He’s making risky throws, dumb fumbles, and seems to have very little arm strength. In this fantastic offense I think he will be fine, but I think he continues regressing from an amazing first stint in Kelly’s offense.
  • You get the sense that Jordan Matthews has the ability to become a big threat in the passing game, after tantalizing us with 2 TDs against the Redskins in Week 3. He’s only participating in 60% of pass plays though, so until he passes Riley Cooper on the depth chart, I think he’s only worth a play in an astounding matchup.
  • The Eagles defense has not been good against #1 WRs this season. Each opponents #1 WR this year has been their teams leading receiver 5 weeks in a row. Could be a Victor Cruz bounce back game next week.

 

Rams:

  • Get ready for a brutal Rams schedule. The only good matchup they have in the next two months is against the Raiders in Week 13. They are going to look bad for awhile, but it should do wonders for their players prices towards the end of the season, so don’t get discouraged.
  • Forget about Zac Stacy. Stacy got a season low 40% of snaps Week 5 and has been hovering around 50% all season. Benny Cunningham, who the coaching staff repeatedly praise each week, got a season high 54%. For min salary on DraftKings, he seems like a solid play in a good matchup, although certainly not next week against the 49ers.
  • Brian Quick has been really good in his career, even though it doesn’t look obvious at first glance. His 15-25% of snaps the past two years really only equates to around 6 full games. In those 6 games effective he has 29 catches for 458 yards and 4 TDs. He’s the #1 WR this year, and as a tall 6’4″ receiver should be a popular redzone target. I think this could be a 1000 yard, 10+ TD season for Quick.
  • You have to think Austin Davis is overachieving right now. An undrafted 3rd year QB who has been doing awesome this year, with one of the best fantasy games of the week. This St. Louis offense is not known for a lot of explosiveness, so I’m fading him hard all season.
  • Snaps are going to need to go way up before we can start considering Tavon Austin. But he definitely has the potential to become a Percy Harvin type player. Just keep an eye out, but definitely do not play him until we see more PT.

 

Bears at Panthers

Game Summary:

Sloppy game which each team turning over the ball a ton. Carolina struggled early but managed to come back against a bad Bears defense.

Bears:

  • Matt Forte had a monster game this week with an incredible 12 receptions for over 100 yards and a TD. Forte’s receptions went way up to career high 74 last year, offensive minded coach Marc Trestman’s first year in the NFL. He’s on a blistering pace of 115 receptions this year. I don’t think he keeps that pace up, but it’s clear Forte’s value has improved tremendously under Trestman, who has increased his workload from 75% of snaps to 90-95% of snaps since he’s arrived. The Falcons have given up an astounding 6.4 receptions per game to RBs this year, so we may see another insane game from Forte.
  • Brandon Marshall was pretty absent this week, despite feeling seemingly healthy. He played WR1 snaps, but just wasn’t looked for as much as Jeffery and Forte. Trestman noted this week they want to get Marshall more involved. But with so many weapons on their team, these games are probably going to happen. Marshall is better than Jefferey, but each are superb WRs who should neck and neck all season.
  • Martellus Bennett is having an awesome year, but I worry about how many looks he is going to get with a healthy Marshall, Jefferey, and Forte.
  • Jay Cutler was above average last week but turned the ball over a fair amount. He can post elite numbers some weeks, but he needs an above average matchup.

 

Panthers:

  • Kelvin Benjamin was the biggest dud of the week, with only 3 catches for 38 yards and no TDs. But it was obvious how objectively good of a play he was. He got targeted 11 times, a few in the end zone, and just failed to make tough catches and failed to get good throws from Cam Newton. This could have easily been a 2 TD game from him. Benjamin is an extremely strong play regardless of matchup, just because this team can’t run the ball and he’s the only good WR option on the team. He has the makings of a great WR in the vein of Julio Jones with great size, speed, and athletic ability.
  • Greg Olsen is a close 2nd to Benjamin as a receiving threat, but after him there is no one. Cam had an easier time hitting Olsen over the middle than hitting Benjamin on the sideline. Olsen and Benjamin had more targets than the rest of the team combined, so if the running game struggles continue they are both elite targets.
  • Cam Newton is just not running the ball that much this year because he’s nursing a rib injury, he also doesn’t look very polished as a QB, often locking onto his first option each play. I don’t think we’re going to see a breakout Newton this year, especially with how bad the offensive line has struggled this year.
  • If these backup Panthers RBs can’t run against the Bears rush defense, they aren’t going to be able to run on anyone. So just stay away.

 

View all posts by Daniel Steinberg
Daniel Steinberg

About the Author

Daniel Steinberg Daniel Steinberg is a former bond trader at a multi-billion dollar proprietary trading firm in Chicago. He uses his knowledge of statistics and his creativity from his career as a poker professional to create the most advanced Daily Fantasy statistical analysis that you will find anywhere. Follow him on twitter @DanielSingerS

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