1/24 NBA Injury Breakdown
The number of injuries this week has been off the charts. Just for the players sake, I hope this slows down.
Here, I want to diagnose specifically the injury situation on each team and what it means in terms of minute projections and expected fantasy production against their opponents.
Let’s get into it.
LA Lakers at Orlando
Jordan Farmar – OUT
Steve Blake – OUT
Steve Nash – OUT
Kobe Bryant – OUT
Xavier Henry – OUT
Ronnie Price – OUT
Nikola Vucevic – OUT
Lakers Analysis – The Lakers have been against all these injuries for weeks. All daily fantasy sites have adjusted Kendall Marshall’s salary appropriately. The Magic’s primary weakness has been inside with Vucevic out. That comes with points and rebounds. I’d look for a solid game from Pau Gasol, but there’s nothing new injury wise.
Magic Analysis – The Lakers are one of the worst defensive teams in the league, but they are particularly bad inside as they allow the most FPTS to PFs and Cs. With Tobias Harris playing the 4, look for a great game out of him. He’s going to create a lot of matchup problems and get his rebounds. Also, keep an eye on Kyle O’Quinn, who has been very efficient off the bench, despite an off night on Wednesday.
Toronto at Philadelphia
Kyle Lowry (flu) – Feeling better, will play
Landry Fields – OUT
Tyler Hansbrough (ankle) – has missed 11-straight games, likely out tonight.
Tony Wroten – OUT
Jason Richardson – OUT
Arnett Moultrie – OUT
Brandon Davies – OUT
Nerlens Noel – OUT
Raptors Analysis – Nothing is really new here either. Lowry did play Wednesday, but had an awful game with his flu-like symptoms. Reports are that he’s feeling better and ready to go against the worst defense in the NBA. The 76ers also run the most possessions per game. Lowry should bounce back in a big way tonight.
76ers Analysis – The only note-worthy news here is Wroten. He’s missed the last two games. Michael Carter-Williams played 34 and 37 minutes in those games, which isn’t really an increase on his 34.7 average. No specific analysis here. With how poorly the 76ers have been playing, it’s best to look elsewhere.
San Antonio at Atlanta
Kawhi Leonard – OUT
Danny Green – OUT
Tiago Splitter – OUT
John Jenkins – OUT
DeMarre Carroll – OUT
Pero Antic – OUT
Al Horford – OUT
Spurs Analysis – This will be San Antonio’s first game without Leonard. Then with Green out, it’s tough to dictate what Gregg Popovich will do since those are the two most fitting players at the 3. Plus, Pop hasn’t hesitated to alter his starting five for specific matchups. Personally, I believe this will be a slight increase in minutes for Manu Ginobili and Marco Belinelli. But furthermore, they should have to take on a bigger scoring role. Even if Boris Diaw gets a bump in minutes, he’s not going to take as many shots as Leonard would.
Hawks Analysis – This will be Atlanta’s first game without Carroll and Antic. When Horford first went down, Paul Millsap benefited greatly. I think you’ll see the same thing here. We’ll see how the minutes breakdown between Elton Brand, Gustavo Ayon, Mike Scott and Lou Williams moving forward. It’s a risk at this point to be sure on any of those four, but I like Williams the most. Korver is capable of playing the 3 with Carroll out and Williams has essentially been the sixth man this season.
Milwaukee at Cleveland
O.J. Mayo (flu) – Missed Wednesday’s game, but status is uncertain for tonight.
Carlos Delfino – OUT
Larry Sanders (flu) – Will play tonight, but come off the bench.
Zaza Pachulia – OUT
Bucks Analysis – The only Milwaukee player you ever get somewhat consistent reults from is Brandon Knight. Ironically, the Cavs give up the second-most points to PGs. He’s your play.
Cavs Analysis – No injuries here. The Bucks are particulaurly weak inside. Anderson Varejao is the man here, as I still feel he’s undervalued on most daily fantasy sites ($6,900 on Draft Kings).
Dallas at Brooklyn
Gal Mekel – OUT
Dirk Nowitzki (Rest) – Missed Wednesday’s game, but that was simply for rest. He’s playing tonight.
Paul Pierce (Illness) – Will play tonight
Brook Lopez – OUT
Mavericks Analysis – Nothing to to diagnose here. Devin Harris is back in action, but is only playing 15 minutes per game. Brooklyn gives up the fourth-most FPTS to SGs. Along with Brooklyn at -2 and an over/under of a 200.5, Monta Ellis is worth a look.
Nets Analysis – Nothing new here either. Dallas is average from top-to-bottom in terms of FPTS allowed. Joe Johnson has been on fire as of late and still has a $6,600 salary on DraftKings. The same goes for Andray Blache, who is $5,700. Deron Williams has been coming off the bench and is getting fewer minutes since returning from injury.
Oklahoma City at Boston
Russell Westbrook – OUT
Kevin Durant (shoulder) – Game-time decision
Rajon Rondo (rest) – Got the day off as he is taking it lightly in his first few games back from his ACL injury. He will play tonight.
Jerryd Bayless – OUT
Avery Bradley – OUT
Keith Bogans – OUT
Thunder Analysis – If Durant plays, there’s nothing new. I would actually stay from all OKC players tonight if that’s the case. However, if Durant sits out, this changes everything as OKC’s two best players would be out. We’ve never seen OKC in that situation before, but you’d think Jeremy Lamb would get the start at the 3 and be given the green light to take 20-plus shots. I’d also give a bump to Reggie Jackson, even though he won’t see a huge increase in minutes. He’ll simply have more chances offensively. Also, for what it’s worth, the line on this game started at OKC -7 and it’s now at -6. But that’s not enough movement to think some people know he won’t play.
Celtics Analysis – The Celtics backcourt has been somewhat of a moving target as of late. Jeff Green, Gerald Wallace, Phil Pressey and Chris Johnson all played 30-plus minutes last game, but Rondo was out. Rondo will primarily cut into Pressey and Johnson’s minutes here. If Durant doesn’t give it a go, look for Jeff Green to dominate tonight.
Charlotte at New York
Kemba Walker – OUT
Jeff Taylor – OUT
Brendan Haywood – OUT
Raymond Felton – He didn’t speak to the media after Wednesday’s game because of back spasms and feeling ill. Although, all signs point to him playing tonight.
Metta World Peace – OUT
Andrea Bargnani – OUT
Amare Stoudemire – OUT
Kenyon Martin – OUT
Bobcats Analysis – The Knicks give up the sixth most FPTS to SGs, but they’ve struggled in the paint recently with all the frontcourt injuries. Add that to Al Jefferson not getting enough All-Star Game consideration (Yes, players do take this kind of stuff personally. Just ask LaMarcus Aldridge from last night), big Al should have another big game.
Knicks Analysis – The Knicks are running out of bodies down low. Expect big minutes and rebounding numbers from Tyson Chandler. Jeremy Tyler should also get a bump in minutes and makes for a solid value play.
New Orleans at Detroit
Jrue Holiday – OUT
Anthony Morrow (illness) – Will return tonight.
Ryan Anderson – OUT
Jason Smith – OUT
Pelicans Analysis – Not a lot to look at there. Brandon Jennings has been pretty bad defensively, which means Brian Roberts might finally be a high-value play. Despite the Pistons having a lethal backcourt, they are in the bottom half in FPTS allowed to big men. Anthony Davis could be a sneaky play here as well.
Pistons Analysis – With a healthy roster and the Pelicans in the bottom-third in FPTS allowed to PFs and Cs, Andre Drummond should pick up a lot of stats, especially with blocked shots from all the shots Anthony Davis should take.
Memphis at Houston
Tony Allen – OUT
Quincy Pondexter – OUT
Francisco Garcia – OUT
Terrence Jones – Game-time decision
Greg Smith – OUT
Omer Asik – OUT
Grizzlies Analysis – Marc Gasol is now playing over 30 minutes, but his salary is already adjusted on daily fantasy sites. Zach Randolph is the guy to watch with Houston allowing the third-most FPTS to PFs and the potential for Terrence Jones to miss another game.
Rockets Analysis – The shootaround was canceled because of the icy conditions (people in the Midwest are laughing at this). There’s no update on Jones, but even if he plays, he’s not the ideal play. Memphis is a much better defensive team with Randolph and Gasol in at the same time. Jones hasn’t had particularly strong games against Memphis either. Patrick Beverley is still undervalued on many daily fantasy sites though.
LA Clippers at Chicago
Chris Paul – OUT
Darren Collison (toe) – Will play tonight, but has been bothered by a sprained toe.
Kirk Hinrich – OUT
Derrick Rose – OUT
Carlos Boozer (calf) – Will play tonight
Clippers Analysis – I’d stay away from all Clippers players tonight. The Bulls are too good defensively. Joakim Noah should limit DeAndre Jordan’s rebounds, Blake Griffin won’t get to play at a fast pace and Mike Dunleavy (the most vulnerable defender) will be on Jared Dudley.
Bulls Analysis – Most daily fantasy sites are finally updating D.J. Augustin’s salary, but some still haven’t. With Collison battling a toe issue, continue to play him. Carlos Boozer and Noah are legit plays as the Clippers are in the bottom-third in FPTS allowed to big men.
Washington at Phoenix
Glen Rice Jr – OUT
Al Harrington – OUT
Eric Bledsoe – OUT
Emeka Okafor – OUT
Wizards Analysis – Nothing new here. John Wall is tearing it up.
Suns Analysis – Nothing new here either. Goran Dragic is also tearing it up.
Indiana at Sacramento
Rudy Gay – OUT
DeMarcus Cousins (ankle) – Day-to-day, but his ankle his swollen after suffering the injury on Wednesday.
Pacers Analysis – The Pacers just lost at the Suns and you can expect them to bounce back against a beat up Kings team. I particularly like Paul George and Lance Stephenson for big games with the Kings struggling to defend both positions and Gay being out.
Kings Analysis – Even if Cousins does play, he’s a bad start. He won’t be 100 percent and it’s against the best frontcourt in the league. Look for a bigger offensive role from Isaiah Thomas, but more importantly, from Derrick Williams. He received 40 minutes in the last game vs. the Rockets when both players went down.
Minnesota at Golden State
Kevin Martin (finger) – Will play tonight
Alexey Shved (nose) – Will play tonight, likely with a mask.
Nemanja Nedovic – OUT
David Lee (shoulder) – Game-time decision
Andrew Bogut (knee) – Game-time decision
Festus Ezeli – OUT
Jermaine O’Neal – OUT
Timberwolves Analysis – Not big on anyone here. Nikola Pekovic is taking away some of Kevin Love’s stats, but both are essentially overpriced right now. However, if Lee or Bogut don’t suit up, this changes. Because this is the last game of the night, it’ll be tough to wait on two game-time decisions. Ricky Rubio is the best play from a matchup point of view, but he’s overpriced too.
Warriors Analysis – This is all about Lee and Bogut. But again, this is the last game of the night, which is unfortunate since the Timberwolves give up a lot of points. However, they also give up a lot of FPTS in the backcourt. Be on the lookout for a big game from Steph Curry and Klay Thompson.
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