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NBA Strategy: Are Blowouts Favorable to Big Men?

The common knowledge used to be in NBA DFS that you should avoid blowouts at all costs. However, research has started to show that isn’t necessarily the case, as is shown in this article. Blowouts are very bad for teams on the losing end, but they are actually favorable for teams doing the blowing out. […]

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How To Win At Daily Fantasy Sports Betting: Pricing Algorithms

Daily fantasy sports betting is all about making a lineup that maximizes points scored per dollar spent. That means finding players who have are priced at a bargain. The way DFS experts normally do this is by exploting good matchups where players are expected to overperform there averages. However, because of the way DFS websites […]

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How To Win At Daily Fantasy Sports Betting: Matchup

When a player scores a ton of fantasy points, it is not usually a random occurrence. The team they are matched up against tend to be poor at defending a player of their caliber, position, or anyone at all. When choosing your plays for any given day it is important you look at how good […]

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Matchup: Why Players Have Big Games

When a player scores a ton of fantasy points, it is not usually a random occurrence. The team they are matched up against tend to be poor at defending a player of their caliber, position, or anyone at all. When choosing your plays for any given day it is important you look at how good the matchup is […]

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How To Win At Daily Fantasy Sports Betting: The Basics

When I first heard about Daily Fantasy Sports Betting (DFS), I knew I wanted to play but I was a little confused on exactly how it works. However, DFS is just like any fantasy sports game. You make a lineup of players from whatever sport you like and play against others. There are only a […]

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Injuries: The Bread and Butter of DFS

One of the biggest factors of winning in DFS is maximizing the amount of points your lineup is expected to score per dollar. To do that, a DFS bettor must take advantage of players that are severely mispriced. Mispricing can be caused by a number of things, the most important and obvious being when a […]

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Worst Rim Protecting Teams NBA

Most of the decisions people make when choosing their fantasy lineups involve picking players playing against bad defenses or teams that give up a lot of fantasy points. Those are useful signals of good fantasy performances, but we can get much better signal when we paint a vivid picture of the fashion that teams and […]

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Outcome Bias

We have all had this experience. You set your DFS lineup with what you thought was good rational. You took some clearly undervalued players, some studs you liked, and you submitted your lineup. But when the day is over half your players laid an egg, and you fail to cash. You look back at your […]

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