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Curveballs are underutilized early in the count

    I got the idea for this article thinking about pitching strategy. It makes sense to me that getting to two-strikes for a pitchers is an important strategy for good performance. With two strikes, pitchers can get a hitter to swing out of the zone and either make bad contact or miss completely, two […]

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The issues with Expected Outcome wOBA

There is a lot of luck involved in hitting a baseball. When a player violently swings at a pitch, which sometimes travels over 100 mph, even a small change in where the bat meets the ball could be the difference between a homerun or a pop up. A ball could be hit hard in the […]

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The Most Important Skill For Pitchers Is Throwing Two Strikes

There’s a lot of data I look at to evaluate pitchers. Contact rates (the quality of their pitches) and how often they get swings outside of the strike zone are two of the most important factors I use to determine if a pitcher is pitching well or not. How often they throw strikes is another. […]

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DFS MLB Strategy: Why You Should Fade Top of the Order Changes in GPPs

A few years ago, when DFS was new and players we’re a lot less knowledgeable, Daily Fantasy Baseball strategy was simple and straightforward. There were easy tricks to find players who’s projections were going to outpace their salary. For example, a right-handed hitter facing a left-handed pitcher? Play the man! A hitter moving from 9th […]

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Dylan Bundy Is Ready To Fix The Orioles Pitching Problem

It was announced today that Orioles pitcher Dylan Bundy will start this Sunday on the road against the Rays. The move makes sense, the Orioles need good starting pitching and Bundy could become a good starter. I think Bundy will do very well as a starter, and in this article I’ll talk about why. Just a […]

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DFS MLB: Using Bullpens To Pick Hitters And Pitchers

A large part of the process of picking hitters in DFS MLB is pretty simple. We pick guys going against bad pitchers and we pick guys in good hitters parks. Use this strategy, and you’ll do pretty well in cash games. But in tournaments, those hitters tend to be far too obvious of plays, and high ownership can kill your […]

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Are The Rays Swinging Harder?

The Rays are known as one of the most sophisticated organizations in the MLB, mostly thanks to an advanced analytics department. They have been first adopters of some of the now prevalent advanced baseball strategies today. They perennially are winners with annually low payrolls. The Rays sometimes blow me away with the strategies discovered and implemented by their analytics […]

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Want to Win 1st in a Big GPP? Think 3rd, 4th, and 5th.

Sometimes, it seems impossible to win a big GPP. With thousands and sometimes even tens-of-thousands of lineups to compete against, the chances of placing 1st seems equivalent to winning a small lottery. And it’s true. Winning a GPP is never going to be easy (unless, maybe, your name is Sahiilsud). But there are specific strategies we […]

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Understanding The Knuckleball With Fangraphs Game Charts

Despite few MLB pitchers actually throwing the pitch, the knuckleball is probably the most interesting pitch in baseball. You’ve probably heard of a few guys who throw the knuckleball, most recognizable are R.A. Dickey and Tim Wakefield. Neither of these pitchers achieved great success, but nonetheless had solid MLB careers. While most people know the basic premise […]

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DFS MLB: Ignore Recent Performance With Hitters

“Probably the most important and hardest part of understanding sports stats – accepting how much luck there really is.” – Steamer’s twitter account At the moment I am writing this article, Bryce Harper very nearly leads the league in wOBA at a whopping .491, an extraordinary number. Harper is most probably the best hitter in baseball, and […]

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