What We’ve Learned About Paul Millsap
With Al Horford out indefinitely and Elton Brand taking over, it was unclear how much of an increased role Paul Millsap would have in the starting five. It turns out, it’s significant.
The Hawks have played two games without Horford, and Millsap combined for 50 points and 20 rebounds in 76 minutes. Along with his other statistics, this has turned into 94.5 FPTS. Meanwhile, Brand has put up a combined 10 points and 6 rebounds in 33 minutes.
While there’s a chance Brand becomes a little more involved and getting used to the starting lineup, I don’t think Millsap’s production will decrease much in the future. Not only has Millsap taken 32 shots in the last two games, he’s been much more aggressive and has made 20-of-24 free-throw attempts. Millsap is also an excellent defender and not having Horford will give him a bigger responsibility in creating turnovers and protecting the rim.
Furthermore, Millsap has had success in the last two games against the Bobcats and the Magic. While both teams are average on the glass, Orlando is 23rd in possessions per game while the Bobcats are 28th and are third in scoring defense.
So, despite the Hawks usually having a somewhat balanced attack, Millsap is clearly the main threat along with Jeff Teague.
And guess what, Millsap is $8,500 on DraftKings. While that number seems high, that is a slight to no increase on what his salary has been before. Plus, unlike the Phoenix Suns when someone like Markieff Morris can get in the way of Miles Plumlee, there is no bench player in the frontcourt that is much of a threat to Millsap. Louis Williams is the sixth man at shooting guard, but after that, all the bench players are averaging under 14 minutes per game.
Anytime you see Millsap with this kind of a salary in a favorable matchup, he’s worth the play.
However, Atlanta’s schedule coming up is: at Boston, Golden State, at Chicago, at Brooklyn, Indiana, Houston, at Memphis, Brooklyn. Most of these teams have tough frontcourts to play against or play at a slow pace.
Bottom line – Keep a close eye on Millsap over the next few games. If he consistently puts up around 35 to 40 FPTS, remember it’s against tough fantasy competition. Circle the matchups against the Brook Lopezless Nets on Jan 6 and Jan 16 as they are 21st in scoring defense and 25th in rebounding. You could hit a homerun with Millsap on those dates.View all posts by Nick Juskewycz