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Target Watch Week 15

Week 15 was the total opposite of week 14 when it came to receiver production. There weren’t many high targeted receivers or many killer performances, but there’s still some things we can uncover by looking at the target numbers.

 

 

The Studs

Odell Beckham Jr. (15 Targets) – Not exactly a surprise against a Redskins defense that is dead last in DVOA against the pass and 2nd to last in fantasy points given up to QBs, Beckham was the WR to own this week. He caught 12 of his 15 targets for 143 yards and 3 TDs.

Harry Douglas (14 Targets) – When Julio Jones or Roddy White are out, Douglas has shown over and over again how effective he can be. Jones should be back this week though, which means once again Douglas will become irrelevant.

Kelvin Benjamin/Greg Olsen (13 Targets) – Derek Anderson just may be a much better passer than Cam Newton. In both games where Anderson has started, both Benjamin and Olsen have had great games.

Randall Cobb (13 Targets) – He caught 7 balls for 96 yards and also got 3 rushes. It wasn’t a spectacular game but don’t forget about him, especially against a Tampa Bay pass defense this week that ranks in the bottom 1/3 against the pass according to DVOA and in bottom 5 in fantasy points allowed to WRs.

Demaryius Thomas (11 Targets) – The Broncos have been running the ball a lot more than usual, but that hasn’t stopped Thomas from getting the majority of looks in the Broncos passing game. He may be the only WR on the Broncos I trust at the moment.

Jarvis Landry (11 Targets) – Mike Wallace may have had the better game, but Landry consistently out-targets him.

Antonio Brown (10 Targets) – He caught all 10 for 123 yards, but failed to score a TD. His consistency is just unbelievable.

Dez Bryant (7 Targets) – His targets were low but his performance was extrordinary, catching 6 balls for 114 yards and 3 TDs. He’s clearly capable of really big games when he gets the opportunities.

 

The Surprises

Eric Decker (11 Targets) – Decker must have been covered most by Blidi Wreh-Wilson, who ranks almost dead last in pass coverage according to Profootball Focus. I’m basically going to put no weight on this performance, and I think he’s basically unusable going against the tough Patriots secondary.

Nate Washington (10 Targets) – Kendall Wright was surprisingly out, and this time Washington took advantage. Even with Wright likely back next week, I think Washington is certainly in the mix for GPPs.

 

High Targets, Low Production

DeAndre Hopkins (13 Targets) – He was targeted 13 times, but only caught 5 for 77 yards. This week he draws a Ravens secondary that is 2nd to last in fantasy points given up to WRs, he’s certainly a good candidate for cash games.

Jordy Nelson (12 Targets) – I doubt any of you will forget about Nelson against Tampa Bay, it’s just nice to see his targets are still very high.

 

Target Goats

T.Y. Hilton (8 Targets) – I expected a much better game from Hilton. He caught only 4 passes for 50 yards against a Houston team that gives up the most fantasy points to WRs in the league. Still, there’s no reason to think he’s not capable of some big games in these last 2 weeks.

Jimmy Graham (7 Targets) – He didn’t have a bad game, catching 5 balls for 87 yards, but he clearly isn’t healthy. His shoulder issue is preventing him from being the redzone threat we’re used to, don’t expect him to have any monster games anytime soon.

Calvin Johnson (6 Targets) – I didn’t watch much of this game so I don’t know what happened, but we definitely expected more here. That being said, he faces the Bears this week and will be one of my top WR plays.

Martellus Bennett (6 Targets) – It was a horrible game for the entire Bears offense, and it’s not going to get easier going against the Lions in week 16. He’s still a GPP play though with Brandon Marshall out for the year.

Emmanuel Sanders (3 Targets) – The Broncos have decided to lean on C.J. Anderson and the run game, and it’s working quite well. Sadly for Sanders, this kills his fantasy value.

View all posts by Max J Steinberg
Max J Steinberg

About the Author

Max J Steinberg Max Steinberg is a professional poker player and a top Daily Fantasy player who uses his creativity and mathematical abilities he cultivated as a poker player to win money on both DraftKings and FanDuel. He already has several big tournament scores to his name including the Victiv Bowl and countless MLB Monster wins. Follow him on twitter @maxjsteinberg.

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