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Target Watch Week 14

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The Studs

T.Y. Hilton (19 Targets) – Hilton had an absolutely monster game, catching 10 balls for 150 yards. Next week he faces thw worst defense in the NFL against #1 WRs according to DVOA in Houston at home. Hilton is clearly one of the top WRs next week.

Julio Jones (17 Targets) – For the 2nd straight week Jones eclipsed 30 fantasy points, and this time it was against a pretty solid Green Bay D. He did get a hip injury toward the end of the game, so watch his status, but the Steelers secondary is nothing to be afraid of here. The o/u of this game is 54.5.

Odell Beckham Jr (15 Targets) – If you didn’t already know, ODB is good. Look for him to wreck a horrible Redskins secondary this weekend.

A.J. Green (15 Targets) – When healthy, Green is one of the best WRs in the league, but he draws a tough matchup against the physical Joe Haden this week. I prefer other high salary WRs to him, but it’s nice to see that he’s healthy.

Antonio Brown (14 Targets) – He had a quiet game with no TDs, but that should change against Atlanta next week. Good to see that he’s still the most targeted WR in the NFL.

Mike Evans (11 Targets) – Lost in the craziness of this weekend, Mike Evans actually had another 2 TD game but only caught 4 of his targets. He faces a very soft Panthers pass D next week, I like him as a sleeper in tournies.

 

The Surprises

Vincent Jackson (17 Targets) – He didn’t find the endzone, but he did catch 10 balls for 159 yards. He’s still fantasy relevant, but Evans seems to get open in the redzone way more often than Jackson.

Martellus Bennett (15 Targets) – Brandon Marshall went down in this game, and that opened up opportunities for Bennett. We saw this early in the season as well, Marshall was injured and Bennett started to thrive. Look for him to continue to play well in a easy matchup vs the Saints D.

Michael Crabtree (14 Targets) – Crabtree’s targets have been trending upward lately, but he’s irrelevant this week going against Richard Sherman in Seattle. The 49ers are projected to score only 14 points. Still, keep an eye on him.

Julian Edelman (12 Targets) – He had a great game and a long TD and continues to see consistent targets. He seems to thrive against less physical defenses like the Chargers. I don’t like him against Miami.

Sammy Watkins (12 Targets) – I was getting a little worried there with Watkins, who hadn’t been seeing many targets lately coming off of injury. He seems like a good option at home vs the Packers next week.

Steve Smith Sr. (11 Targets) – I think this was mostly a function of Torrey Smith spraining his knee in warmups more than anything. But T. Smith’s status is in doubt next week against the Jaguars, and the Jags are just a horrible defense. In a game where Baltimore will likely be up, Owen Daniels will likely be running less pass routes. Look for Steve Smith to have a great game as long as Torrey is out.

Scott Chandler (11 Targets) – Not going to read into this too much, the Bills were way down in this game and Chandler ran way more pass routes. They’re dogs to the Packers next week, but I will be fading him.

Pierre Garcon (11 Targets) – With Desean Jackson out, there weren’t many other places to go for Colt Mccoy. If Jackson is out again, I love Garcon against a weak Giants D. The Redskins will almost certainly be down in this game and forced to pass.

Allen Hurns/Cecil Shorts (10 Targets) – Shorts did really nothing with his targets, while Hurns at least scored a TD. I just wanted to point this out since the Ravens will be way up in this game, the Jags will be forced to pass, and the Ravens secondary is horrible. I wouldn’t mind playing one of these two in tournaments.

Percy Harvin (9 Targets) – The revenge game! We all saw this coming, right? The Jets prefer to run when they can, but they got down quickly and had to start throwing. They face the Titans on the road this week, and I don’t expect the Titans offense to blow them out here, so I’m skeptical on Harvin. But I think he’s a nice GPP play.

Chris Hogan (9 Targets) – The Bills were forced to pass a lot, which is why so many Buffalo receivers got so many targets. Hogan is a pretty solid #3 WR who does well consistently when he gets the time, but usually only gets it when the Bills are down in the game. Look to play him in GPPs in likely blowouts, like next week against the Packers.

 

Running Backs who Catch

Fred Jackson (14 Targets) – I was completely shocked to see this since for the past couple of weeks Jackson has been mostly in a time share with Bryce Brown and Anthony Dixon. This caused me to look at the play percentages, Jackson played 63 out of 83 plays. He also ran it 9 times to Brown and Dixon’s 7 combined. This may have been a function of the flow of the game, Buffalo was down and ended up throwing 57 times, but luckily they’re facing the Packers next week so they should be playing from behind once again. Regardless, it looks like Jackson in healthy, and the Bills are facing a team that actually isn’t great against the run. I think he’s a fantastic sleeper this week.

 

There’s Still Hope

Jimmy Graham (11 Targets) – It was another awful game from Graham, but at least he was targeted. I’m not counting him out just yet, especially against the awful Bears secondary.

Delanie Walker (10 Targets) – He had a poor game but was the most targeted Titan. The Jets are absolutely horrible against TEs, so I’ll be using him once again in cash games.

Coby Fleener (10 Targets) – I thought Dwayne Allen’s presence may take away from Fleener, but 10 targets says otherwise. That being said, the Colts threw a lot.

Brandon LaFell (9 Targets) – The targets are still there in this high powered offense, he can continue to be used.

Larry Donnell (7 Targets) – He was the 2nd most targeted receiver and he’s facing a Redskins team that allowed him to score 3 TDs.

Albert Wilson (8 Targets) – This undrafted free agent out of Georgia State (not a typo) is suddenly getting WR2 snaps. He’s a deep, deep sleeper but I think playable in GPPs against the Raiders.

 

Target Goats
Josh Gordon (7 Targets)- It seems like Jordan Cameron’s return has taken away from him a bit, and Brian Hoyer’s ineptitude. He’s a risk with Johnny Manziel as the starter but his potential still makes him a very viable GPP play.

Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas (11 Targets combined) – The Broncos like C.J. Anderson a lot, and why not? He’s a big bruising runner who’s been carrying their team and closing out games for them the past several weeks. I don’t think this is a fluke, the Broncos are playing a different style of offense with Anderson in the cold weather and I’m avoiding P. Manning, Sanders, and Thomas in cash games until I see otherwise.

Jeremy Maclin (6 Targets) – He was going against Richard Sherman all game, look for him to bounce back.

Kenny Stills (4 Targets)- I stated this last week, the Saints offense is just completely unpredictable (it didn’t help that they were completely inept this game either) and predicting which WR is going to do well every week is essentially impossible. That being said, the Saints face a horrible Bears secondary next week, and Vegas isn’t flinching. The Saints are projected to score 28.5 points against Chicago.

Mike Wallace (4 Targets) – He had one of the best matchups in football and still did not produce. He rarely catches more than 5 balls and Ryan Tannehill does not throw downfield. His upside is too limited for tournaments.

Keenan Allen (3 Targets) – He was shadowed by Darelle Revis all game, he should bounce back against the Broncos.

Nate Washington (3 Targets) – Washington had a great matchup and was basically the only decent WR on the team, and did nothing. He may have a easier time getting open when Kendall Wright gets back.

View all posts by Max J Steinberg
Max J Steinberg

About the Author

Max J Steinberg Max Steinberg is a professional poker player and a top Daily Fantasy player who uses his creativity and mathematical abilities he cultivated as a poker player to win money on both DraftKings and FanDuel. He already has several big tournament scores to his name including the Victiv Bowl and countless MLB Monster wins. Follow him on twitter @maxjsteinberg.

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