Sked’s 3/5 NBA Daily Fantasy Plays
It’s an NBA Wednesday, which means we’ve got 10 games to choose from. With that, I’ll share my favorite picks at each position tonight. Interestingly, many of the guys I like tonight are in cross-conference matchups.
(All salaries via Draft Kings)
Ty Lawson $7,200 – So let’s get this straight – Lawson returns from injury with an $8,200 salary, drops 61.5 FPTS and his salary gets reduced $1,000? Let’s also get another thing straight – you could make the argument that Lawson is as valuable to the Nuggets as any other player on any team. Just look at how their season has fallen apart. This is a huge no-brainer.
Jeff Teague $7,200 – PG is by far the worst FPTS allowed position for the Portland Trail Blazers. Teague’s usage percentage continues to be high without Paul Millsap.
Aaron Afflalo $6,600 – He’s expected to play his normal minutes after returning from injury. Jameer Nelson and Victor Oladipo are out. He will take a lot of shots and the Rockets are 22nd in FPTS allowed to SGs. Normally Afflalo starts at SF, but tonight he will be at SG, which is somewhat more of his ideal position.
Kevin Martin $5,400 – He’s still undervalued from his previous injury. He’s more of a GPP play because of his somewhat high variance, but the Knicks are 27th in FPTS allowed to SGs and Martin is highly correlated in GvP.
Ersan Ilyasova $5,500 – You can play him at SF on DraftKings. He’s really the only Bucks player you can trust given their odd and changing rotation (you bet they are tanking). Ilyasova is highly correlated to DvP and the Kings are 23rd in FPTS allowed to PFs.
Terrence Jones $5,100 – Same deal, you can play Jones at SF, despite being a PF. Jones has now scored 80.5 FPTS in his last two games combined in 67 minutes. This is the Terrence Jones we are used to seeing. He has a great matchup tonight going against Tobias Harris and the Magic are 22nd in FPTS allowed to PFs.
Mike Scott $4,400, Trevor Booker $3,400, Amare Stoudemire $3,300 – They’re all cheap, they’re all starting and they should all get good minutes. Scott has the most upside, but the toughest matchup. Booker has a great matchup, but Marcin Gortat is playing out of his mind right now. Stoudemire is going against Love (which is a good thing) and there should be a lot of possessions for him, but he won’t be the focal point of the offense. You can’t go wrong with any of them here given their value, but I would rank them Scott, Booker and Stoudemire.
Dirk Nowitzki $7,200 – He has the highest increased DvP expected points tonight of any player. The Nuggets are awful at defending the PF with Kenneth Faried. Nowitzki will take him in the post all night long and both teams will score a ton of points.
Joakim Noah $8,600 – For some reason, people still think big men against the Pistons are a bad thing. Wrong. Just because you have a huge frontcourt and can shot block, doesn’t mean you have good defenders. The Pistons are 25th in FPTS allowed to centers. You bet Noah will come out ready to battle with Andre Drummond and make up for his bad outing vs the Nets
Marcin Gortat $6,800 – Gortat is just dominating inside and will have a big size advantage against Derrick Favors. The Jazz are 24th in FPTS allowed to centers. He’s scored over 30 FPTS in his last eight games.
Robin Lopez $6,000 – Aldridge or no Aldridge, Lopez is crushing it on the glass and on the scoreboard. His usage percentage continues to be high, the Hawks are severely undersized right now and are 23rd in FPTS allowed to centers.
DeMarcus Cousins $9,400 – Cousins could go for 60 FPTS tonight. Milwaukee is awful inside in all categories.
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