NFL Week 10: Top High, Mid and Low-Salary Plays at Each Position
We are getting to the point in the NFL season where salaries are becoming more accurate (not considering injuries), and we have a more difficult time finding the appropriate value plays. We’re here to help. In order to help with making your Thursday lineups, here are my top plays by group at each position.
(prices via FanDuel)
Aaron Rodgers $9,900 – Packers are projected to score 30.5 points. The Patriots torched the banged up Bears defense two weeks ago. Bears had a bye week? Oh, that really helped the Giants on Monday night. Rodgers will crush, and you should pair him with Jordy Nelson in GPPS. More on this later.
Cam Newton $7,700 – It’s been three-straight poor outings from Cam. His price has slightly reduced as a result. Here’s what’s going for him though: 1. Cam is running a lot more being healthy, and he is getting some decent rushing yards and is rushing in the red zone in the read-option. 2. The Eagles run the second-most plays per game, which means more opportunities for Cam. 3. The Eagles are 28th against the pass in terms of FPTS allowed. 4. Very few people will play Cam with his recent struggles. 5. Cam has crazy upside. He is the ultimate GPP play.
Mark Sanchez $6,600 – I don’t care if you’re a Jets fan and think Mark Sanchez is the worst QB you’ve ever seen. Here’s what you can’t deny. Chip Kelly’s offense favors QB FPTS, these salaries didn’t factor in Nick Foles’ injury, the Panthers have had one of the worst defenses in the league and Sanchez looked solid against the Texans despite not taking first-team reps the week leading up to the game. Superb GPP and possibly even cash-game play too.
DeMarco Murray $9,300 – Romo is back, so the defense won’t load the box. The Cardinals have the No. 1 rush defense in the NFL. Oh, and it’s the Jaguars now. Easy play.
Ronnie Hillman $7,400 – My top play on FanDuel. Let’s get this straight for the last two weeks: Against the Chargers – 20 carries for 108 yards and 3 catches for 29 yards to get 15.3 FPTS (had two TDs called back for penalties, a run designed for him on the 1 but Manning tripped on his OLman, and was vulchered twice by the FB Thompson). Against the Patriots – Patriots led most the game, yet he showed his PPR value for 7 catches to result in 49 yards and finished with 2 TDs to give him 21.8 FPTS. Now the Broncos draw the 31st-ranked rush defense and the daily fantasy sites still have him priced as the 11th-most expensive back? Ridiculous bargain.
Jeremy Hill $6,900 – You saw that Jeremy Hill is the workhorse back against the Jaguars. Giovani Bernard is expected to be held out again. The Browns have the 19th-ranked FPTS defense against RBs with a very soft schedule so far against RBs. Easy pick, although Hill will guaranteed be used a lot.
Jordy Nelson $8,500 – As I explained for Rodgers, this is a perfect matchup. Nelson’s price has dropped slightly based on one week where didn’t get targeted because of the matchup with Keenan Lewis. He’s golden against the Bears, just as he was the first time these two teams met.
Kelvin Benjamin $6,800 – Same reasoning as Jordy. Lewis shutdown Benjamin last week, Benjamin drew a couple pass interference calls, and he had one drop. Benjamin will have an excellent opportunity to bounce back against the up-tempo Eagles, and he’s still reasonably priced for someone who almost always gets into double digits FPTS wise.
Eric Decker $6,400 – The Steelers still have the same issue without Ike Taylor. While William Gay does a decent job on the left side of the field (from the offense perspective), no matter who is on the right side keeps getting picked on. If I and others can figure this out, the Jets should be able to also (you would think). Let’s also factor in Ryan Shazier and Troy Polamalu are out. The Jets are only 4.5-point dogs despite the Steelers being red hot and the Jets being ice cold. Michael Vick is as mobile of a QB as they come, and he will put pressure on a banged up Steelers DST. Despite the Jets’ struggles, Decker has racked up 16 catches for 103 yards and a TD in his last two games. That’s decent for someone at his price, and I expect Decker to post around 9 catches for 80 yards and a TD here.
Martellus Bennett $6,500 – TE’s correlate to opposing defenses, mainly because they are a common target underneath the defense when teams are playing catchup. You bet Jay Cutler will be doing this to keep up with Rodgers. Bennett had 9 catches for 134 yards the first time these teams met when neither side punted. I can’t say Bennett will match those numbers this time around, but he could very easily grab a TD to match or exceed this.
Delanie Walker $5,800 – The best target on the Titans, and he’s the fourth-most targeted TE in the red zone in the NFL.
Heath Miller $5,300 – The Jets are 29th in FPTS allowed to TEs. Miller has had a few duds, but he’s had two outstanding games 20.7 and 19.5 FPTS. For as much as Roethlisberger is throwing in the red zone, he has to be considered at least in GPPs.
Justin Tucker $5,300 – Huge favorite and arguably the best kicker in the league. Just check the weather in Baltimore on this one.
Mason Crosby $4,800 – A fairly big favorite at only $4,800. Crosby has one of the best legs in the league and Green Bay will put up a ton of points. He’s your safest play.
Patrick Murray $4,500 – Murray is a very good and underrated kicker. Notice the 1-of-3 last week? He had a kick blocked (OLmen fault, it happens) and blasted a 55-yarder into the gusty wind by Lake Erie that came up barely short. Now he’s back in Tampa against the Falcons, and these defenses are bad enough that we should see enough FG attempts.
Seahawks $5,400/Broncos $5,300 – Seahawks defense is struggling a bit, but a 9-point favorite with the biggest homefield advantage against a turnover-prone Giants team. Broncos generate a ton of sacks and are an 11.5-point favorite. The Raiders do give up the fewest sacks, but they haven’t faced many good defenses and a lot of turnovers should be expected outside of that.
Eagles $5,100 – I know I promoted a couple Panthers players earlier, but here’s the deal – the Eagles generate the ninth-most sacks and the Panthers allow the ninth-most sacks. Cam is certainly capable of turnovers, and the Eagles also have a huge special teams advantage. Just make sure you don’t have conflicting players in your lineups, but both sides are legit.
Saints $4,600 – As I pointed out in my under-the-radar plays, the 49ers have been really struggling without Daniel Kilgore at center. The 49ers allowed 10 sacks last week! They now allow the third-most in the league. Meanwhile, the Saints have four sacks in each of the last two weeks. The Saints are at home, which is a huge advantage when the Superdome is loud for a big opponent and Vegas has New Orleans at -5. Consider this the best value play of the week.View all posts by Nick Juskewycz