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NFC West Week 1 DraftKings Daily Fantasy Preview

The NFC West has perhaps the best collection of plays on DraftKings for Week 1. All four teams are favorites, three of them are at home and the one on the road has perhaps the best collection of plays. With kickoff between the Green Bay Packers and Seattle Seahawks starting momentarily, let’s get started,

Arizona Cardinals

QB$
1. Carson Palmer7500
2. Drew Stanton5000
3. Logan Thomas5000
RB$
1. Andre Ellington6000
2. Stepfan Taylor3000
3. Jonathan Dwyer3000
WR$
1. Larry Fitzgerald6700
2. Michael Floyd6000
3. John Brown3000
4. Jaron Brown3000
5. Ted Ginn3000
TE$
1. John Carlson3000
2. Troy Niklas3200

San Diego at Arizona (-3) O/U 45

This game doesn’t have the greatest O/U, and I don’t see a lot of reason to play Carson Palmer. His upside isn’t that great, even though the Chargers had one of the worst defenses last season. Pro Football Focus had it graded 31st overall, with it being particularly bad against the run.

However, I strongly recommend Andre Ellington. A $6,000 DraftKings salary makes him a huge play as he’s clearly the No. 1 back this year and has PPR value.

I’d pass on all the WRs and TEs, simply because there are better matchups elsewhere. But every player after Larry Fitzgerald and Michael Floyd are minimum salary. It’s definitely worth keeping an eye on the depth there for the future if someone happens to step up. I’m thinking John Carlson since Bruce Arians loves TEs in the offense, but let’s wait this week.

 

San Francisco 49ers

QB$
1. Colin Kaepernick8000
2. Blaine Gabbert5000
3. Josh Johnson5000
RB$
1. Frank Gore5200
2. Carlos Hyde3900
3. LaMichael James3000
WR$
1. Michael Crabtree6100
2. Anquan Boldin4700
3. Quinton Patton3000
4. Stevie Johnson3900
5. Brandon Lloyd3000
TE$
1. Vernon Davis4800
2. Vance McDonald3100

San Francisco (-5) at Dallas O/U 51.5

If you told me you liked Colin Kaepernick, Frank Gore, Michael Crabtree and Vernon Davis this week, I wouldn’t blame you. I’m not sure if I can prove a really strong case against it. The Cowboys defense on paper got worse in the offseason, and they are banged up at many spots.

But here’s where I’m coming from on this matchup. Kaepernick is one of my favorite (maybe my top QB) QBs this week. He’s a running QB, something Dallas has really struggled with in the past. He has a healthy group of WRs and TEs in Michael Crabtree (expected to play Week 1), Anquan Boldin, Stevie Johnson and Vernon Davis. He should have a running game to take some of the pressure off of him. The O/U is high, and the 49ers are favored.

However, I’m going to fade everywhere else (some people at Daily Fantasy Winners disagree with this). While Frank Gore seems like a great play at only $5,200 and the Cowboys gave up the most FPTS to RBs last year, he doesn’t have good PPR value on DraftKings, and Carlos Hyde is the type of back to put in on the goal line. Plus, Hyde could certainly be used on third downs or even in certain packages. The 49ers know they need a second RB with time ticking away on Gore (have LaMichael James and Marcus Lattimore – injured), and I can easily see Hyde taking some of Gore’s production (he is a second-round RB). I’ll also throw in that Gore will likely be very-highly used. This is my one big fade to get an edge.

As for the WRs, San Francisco is in the same situation as New England and Indianapolis to me. Now that everyone is healthy, how do we know who is going to be heavily targeted? They have four legitimate weapons. Plus, with Brandon Carr and a healthy Morris Claiborne at the corners, it’s not like they are terrible. If you want to pair Kaepernick with someone in a GPP, I’d go with Davis. With Sean Lee out, the constantly-coming-out-of-retirement Rolando McClain taking his place and Kyle Wilber now starting at WLB, this seems like a decent recipe for Davis to get his red zone looks.

 

Seattle Seahawks

QB$
1. Russell Wilson7700
2. Tarvaris Jackson5000
RB$
1. Marshawn Lynch6800
2. Robert Turbin3000
3. Christine Michael4100
WR$
1. Percy Harvin5900
2. Doug Baldwin3500
3. Jermaine Kearse3300
4. Paul Richardson3000
5. Ricardo Lockette3000
TE$
1. Zach Miller3100
2. Luke Willson3000

Green Bay at Seattle (-5.5) O/U 47

A lot of great plays for Seattle tonight. Let’s put aside the fact it’s opening night at home in a big-time matchup that Pete Carroll usually thrives on, and let’s just focus on some numbers. Here are the Packers’ rankings in FPTS allowed to certain positions last year: QB – 24th, RB – 25th, WR – 21st, TE – 24th.

Russell Wilson is an okay play at $7,700 on DraftKings. He’s on the cheap end and can put up some numbers. The thing I don’t like about him is that despite he ran the ball 96 times for 539 yards, he only rushed for one TD. He scrambles often for first downs and runs read option occasionally, but he always slides or gets out of bounds. More importantly, he almost never calls his own number in the red zone. This doesn’t combine well with a QB who only threw for 209.8 yards per game. He’s a safe play with average upside.

Marshawn Lynch, like all the top running backs this week, is a great play. For all the reasons listed above combined with Christine Michael being injured, he’ll be the usual workhorse back. Oh, and he’s $6,800. How can you pass on that? No-brainer.

Percy Harvin at $5,900? Sure, Sidney Rice has retired and Golden Tate is now in Detroit. Plus, he’s undervalued with him being injured last year. A solid play for sure. Zach Miller at $3,100? Mayyyybe in a GPP. But he’ll need a TD to be a legit play, and I don’t like gambling on players who need a TD to not be a bust.

 

St. Louis Rams

QB$
1. Shaun Hill5000
2. Austin Davis5000
3. Case Keenum5000
RB$
1. Zac Stacy6400
2. Benny Cunningham3000
3. Tre Mason3700
WR$
1. Kenny Britt4000
2. Brian Quick3300
3. Tavon Austin4300
4. Chris Givens3000
5. Austin Pettis3100
TE$
1. Jared Cook3500
2. Lance Kendricks3100

Minnesota at St. Louis (-3.5) O/U 43.5

Despite Minnesota giving up the most FPTS to QBs last year, they played in a division with Aaron Rodgers, Matthews Stafford and Jay Cutler. Plus, with Shaun Hill now at QB and a mediocre receiving core, why risk it?

The Vikings were 28th in FPTS allowed to RBs. The perception is the Vikings have a strong front-four and front-seven, so this is a good sign he may not be heavily used. The Rams are -3.5 and at home, so I wouldn’t mind Zac Stacy at $6,400 on DraftKings. He should get most of the carries (maybe Tre Mason as a 3rd-down RB, but that’s more a guess than a strong opinion). Stacy is in a tough division and he’s cheap right now, so this is actually an ideal time to use him.

If Hill is proves to be decent at QB, I think Kenny Britt could actually have a fantastic year. By fantastic, I mean 900-1,000 yards. Obviously health is the key, but with Tavon Smith still used only part time and the other WRs having limited upside, Britt just might be in the right situation. But not this week. Let’s see what happens first.

View all posts by Nick Juskewycz
Nick Juskewycz

About the Author

Sked Nick is a Daily Fantasy Sports enthusiast and a former Bleacher Report Featured Columnist. Most of his time is dedicated to the sports world in front of several televisions, monitors and a projector. This involves researching, writing, watching games or simply keeping up to date on news.He graduated with honors from Bowling Green State University with a degree in sport management and journalism. Furthermore, Nick was a radio play-by-play and color commentator for Bowling Green football, men's basketball, women's basketball and baseball. He also has experience working with the BGSU athletic department.Follow @NickJuskewycz

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