NBA Daily Fantasy Matchup Analysis: Los Angeles Clippers at Denver Nuggets
The matchup between the Clippers and the Nuggets is a favorite among daily fantasy players. Why? They both play at a fast pace, neither can defend inside and it’s an over/under of 217.5 with a LAC -4.5 line.
Before we take a look at tonight’s matchup, here are the notes from the previous two meetings.
Dec. 21 – Denver 91, LA Clippers 112
- Kenneth Faried suffered an ankle injury three minutes into the game.
- Nuggets were blown out and played 11 guys 10+ minutes (Even Fournier only played seven minutes). Nuggets were also in the middle of an eight-game losing streak.
- Clippers were completely healthy
- Blake Griffin went for 24-16.
- Jamal Crawford dropped 27 points.
- There were 96 total rebounds.
- Faried put up 28-11.
- Ty Lawson posted 27-6-4-3 (6 boards, 4 assists)
- Randy Foye played 40 minutes and hit the GWing three-pointer as time expired
- Fournier only played nine minutes and the Nuggets were playing a short rotation at the time
- Griffin recorded 36-11.
- DeAndre Jordan had 19-12.
Blake Griffin $9,800 and Kenneth Faried $7,400 – Both guys are playing their best basketball in their entire careers. Denver is 28th in FPTS allowed to PFs and the Clippers are 23rd. Again, both teams will play at a fast pace, which means both players will have a very high chance of a double-double. With past results also supporting these guys, all signs point to starting these two.
Best Low-Salary Plays
Evan Fournier $3,100 – I made note about Fournier’s minutes before in that his low production shouldn’t scare you off. This team and rotation looks much different now. Fournier has seen an increase in minutes the last two games (24 and 30). He’s been more active on the glass, he’s playing better defense and he’s shooting more frequently. This has cut into Foye’s playing time and Fournier is taking advantage. Since he’s essentially at minimum salary, he’s certainly worth considering in that the Clippers are 20th in FPTS allowed to SGs and that they are banged up at that position.
Willie Green $3,000 – As I was saying, the Clippers are hurting at SG. Well, they are actually hurting at guard all around. J.J. Redick and Jamal Crawford are both still out and Darren Collison is doubtful with a stomach virus. This was the case last night when the Clippers hosted the Cleveland Cavaliers. Willie Green picked up the slack with 36 minutes. While he only went for 10-4-2, Green was 4-of-13 from the field (2-of-8 from three) and can easily put up points with those kind of minutes in an up-tempo game.
Chris Paul $9,700? – You shouldn’t be playing Paul and Griffin together, especially in GPP formats. So should you go with Paul? Considering that Redick, Crawford and likely Collison are out, wouldn’t Paul take more shots and be more involved in the offense? I actually don’t think so. Right now, there may not be a deeper team in the entire NBA than the Clippers. Putting aside Griffin, they still have Matt Barnes, who was recently going on a crazy run. Reggie Bullock put up 14 points last night against the Cavs in 26 minutes. Let’s not forget the newly acquired Danny Granger and Glen Davis, not to mention Hedo Turkoglu. Not that all these guys are going to have great games, but the point is all these players are scorers to a good extent. Maybe Paul takes a few more mid-range jumpers in the fourth quarter in a tight game, but considering who’s around him, I don’t think he gets much of an upgrade. I’d go with Griffin.
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