NBA Daily Fantasy 3/18 – Sked’s Favorite Plays
Only five games for the Tuesday’s NBA action, but we have a lot of interesting scenarios to look at. LeBron is returning to Cleveland to face a much banged up Cavaliers team, Portland is a 13-point favorite without LaMarcus Aldridge and there are a lot of golden position matchups involving the Wizards vs. Kings contest.
With that in mind, here is who I like tonight.
(All salaries via DraftKings)
Jarrett Jack $4,500 – For a full breakdown of the Cavs, I’ll defer to Danny’s article. To piggyback on what he said, Jack doesn’t have the greatest FPTS per minutes, but one thing to consider is that he’s been playing out of position for most of the season. Jack is a PG, but has started at SG so Dion Waiters doesn’t have to play next to Kyrie Irving at SG. Jack is a great distributor, can penetrate the lane and find ways to score here and there. Even though the Heat aren’t a good matchup, he’ll get good minutes and should rack up a decent performance. He doesn’t have a high ceiling, but he’s good for a minimum of 25 FPTS.
Spencer Hawes $7,100 – This isn’t the great price for Hawes, but with Irving, Anthony Bennett and potentially Luol Deng out, Hawes should get an increased workload offensively. Also, even though Greg Oden is starting, he’s never played more than 13 minutes in a game. Plus, Oden spends his time around the basket, which means Hawes will get plenty of rebounding opportunities against a bad team on the glass. This could be a 40 FPTS night for him.
Kyle Lowry $8,800 – Yes, he’s expensive, but he’s been torching opponents as of late and that’s having a few mediocre shooting nights. He contributes in a ton of categories and has gone over 56 FPTS in three of his last five games (one against Memphis and another while he had the flu!). Atlanta is below average in FPTS allowed and Lowry went for 16 points (on 5-of-14 shooting), 13 assists, 6, rebounds and 2 steals.
Ersan Ilyasova $4,900 – A borderline risky pick here, but it could be huge. With Aldridge out and Dorell Wright likely starting, the Trail Blazers take a hit defensively and Ilyasova will have a size advantage. Ilyasova is also someone who has great upside and has scored over 43 FPTS in two of his last six games. He’s certainly more of a GPP play.
Damian Lillard, Nicolas Batum, Dorell Wright and Robin Lopez – I know it looks weird that I’d like four guys on the same team when one person is out. But here’s what happens when Aldridge is out. Lillard’s usage percentage goes significantly up, whether it’s shooting or not playing as much inside-out with his starting PF. Batum’s attempts goes up some, but he also grabs more rebounds. Wright gets more minutes and consequently gets more numbers. Lopez is the only true big man on the floor and gets a lot more consistent action inside. The Bucks are bad defensively from top-to-bottom. Given that Wright is minimum salary the Trail Blazers are somewhat thin in the frontcourt, I like him the most in a potential blowout game.
John Wall $9,100, Trevor Ariza $6,000 and Marcin Gortat $6,600 – Just so I don’t get into a habit of this, I’ll rank these Wizards players like this – 1. Ariza, 2. Gortat, 3. Wall. Like the Bucks, the Kings are poor defensively from top to bottom. They also play at a fast pace, which should help. Ariza is my favorite play in that he highly correlates to DvP, he has homerun potential and that he’s fairly cheap. Gortat has been awesome with Nene out and $6,600 still is fairly undervalued at this point. Wall is expensive, but against the 5’9″ Isaiah Thomas, he has 60 FPTS potential.
Isaiah Thomas $7,500 – I would add Rudy Gay to this, but I’m going to guess the Wizards cross-guard and put Bradley Beal on Gay while Ariza takes Ben McLemore. As for Thomas, the other somewhat weak position for the Wizards is PG. That fits well for Thomas as he’s posting 40.4 FPTS in his last four games
Kyle O’Quinn $4,100 – For 50/50, O’Quinn is a fine play. He averages more than 1 FPT per minute. The problem is, he’s only getting between 20-25 minutes lately. Nikola Vucevic is a GTD and if he doesn’t suit up, that’ll certainly help O’Quinn.
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