NBA Daily Fantasy 1/16: How to Process All the Injury Information for Tonight’s Contests
With 13 games on the NBA slate tonight, there is a ton of information to digest. Since there will likely be some plot twists in the final hour before the games start, let’s start by filtering through the injury information and see what’s relevant for each contest. Some of these injuries you’ll probably know about, but some may come as a surprise. We’ll also let you know what you should be thinking for each situation.
New Orleans (-7) at Philadelphia (192.5)
New Orleans: Jrue Holiday (ankle) Out, Anthony Davis (toe) Out – Holiday didn’t play in the last contest at Detroit. As a result, Tyreke Evans got the start at PG and was bumped to 40 min. He also racked up 43.1 FPTS in that contest. Considering this is against the 76ers and SG (Evans’ position on FanDuel) can often be thin, Evans is in play. Jimmer Fredette picked up 19 minutes off the bench (didn’t do much) and the recently signed Nate Wolters didn’t see any action. Fredette would be a super GPP option since it’s the 76ers, but it’s not highly recommended. Now Davis being out makes things interesting. Ryan Anderson should get the start for Davis. Omer Asik should also get a bump from a rebounding and scoring perspective as well.
Philadelphia: Tony Wroten (knee) Out – This means it should be another start for K.J. McDaniels. McDaneils’ minutes have fluctuated some between other guards’ health and blowouts, but we should definitely see over 30 minutes for McDaniels. The Pelicans are fairly average at defending SGs and would be more thin without Holiday in the backcourt. Therefore, not only is McDaniels in play, we should see another 40-plus minute night from MCW, who dominated with 43.4 FPTS in this scenario on Wednesday at Toronto (that was in a blowout too). The Pelicans give up the 11th most FPTs to PGs.
Brooklyn at Washington (-10) (190.5)
Brooklyn: Deron Williams (ribs) Out, Sergey Karasev (illness): GTD – The starting five for Brooklyn will be Jarrett Jack, Joe Johnson, Bojan Bogdanovic, Kevin Garnett and Mason Plumlee if Karasev can’t go. If he does, he would likely replace Bogdanovic. The Nets do not have a good matchup playing at the Wizards tonight. I would fade everyone on the Nets under one condition – no trades are made today. Rumors are circulating that the Nets are close to trading Brook Lopez to the Oklahoma City Thunder. There are a ton of deals being rumored so if anything goes down this afternoon, we could be looking at extended minutes for Plumlee tonight.
Detroit at Indiana (PK) (196)
Indiana: George Hill (groin) Out – This will be another start for C.J. Watson, and he is underpriced at $4,500 on FanDuel. The Pistons have been surprisingly solid against PGs this season, but Watson is a very safe play to get you at minimum 20-plus FPTS tonight with the potential for 30 FPTS. That’s pretty good for his price, but he’s not the greatest value play either.
Memphis (-6) at Orlando (197)
Memphis: Mike Conley (ankle) – GTD – Conley hasn’t missed a game yet this year, so this a bit of a new scenario this year. This is likely a huge bump for Beno Udrih, who was the starter for the New York Knicks at PG sometimes at the beginning of last season and was eventually released. Since being picked up by the Grizzlies though, Udrih has been getting around 20 FPTS in just 17.7 minutes. If he plays around 30 minutes and gets about 35 FPTS, that’s fantastic for someone at $3,500. Nick Calathes will probably pick up some of the ball-handling duties but not get as much of a bump as Udrih. The Magic have also given up the third most FPTS to PGs this season.
We also saw Jeff Green make his Memphis debut off the bench at Brooklyn on Wednesday – he played 27 minutes and posted 10 points (3-11 FG) 3 rebounds and 2 assists. Even if he moves to the starting five tonight, his minutes would likely only go into the low 30s, so don’t get too excited about it.
Orlando: Tobias Harris (ankle) Out – The question for the Magic is if they will move Evan Fournier back to the starting lineup. Roy Devyn Marble was starting for Fournier when he was hurt, and Marble was a much better fit for their starting five because of his defense and ability to do a little bit of everything. However, Marble had a rough outing (0-8 FG and 0-6 3FG) against the Rockets while Fournier and Ben Gordon had solid games off the bench. It’s not to say they would take Marble out based on one game, but Fournier was the original starter – so we may see this get switched. Ultimately, I just wouldn’t touch any of those guys and would go with Victor Oladipo if you are going to choose anyone from this team. He’s on a terror and the wings are Memphis’ biggest weakness in terms of FPTS allowed.
Atlanta (-1) at Toronto (208.5)
Toronto: None – Note, DeMar DeRozan made his return on Wednesday night and surprisingly started right away. He got 29 minutes in a blowout game and played fairly well. It’s clear he’s good to go.
Chicago (-5) at Boston (202.5)
Chicago: Mike Dunleavy (ankle) Out, Joakim Noah (ankle) Out: This means another start for Tony Snell, who has been an okay start considering he’s getting over 30 minutes and that he’s only $3,600. But the much bigger news here is Noah. Taj Gibson is always the guy to take over when Noah is out. Gibson, as many of us know, is a lethal fantasy option when given the proper minutes. He’s not as good as he was last year since Pau Gasol takes up more stats than Carlos Boozer, but he’s still awesome. And guess what, the Celtics stink against big men. Gibson is definitely in play tonight.
Golden State (-1.5) at Oklahoma City (216.5)
Andrew Bogut (rest) Out, Andre Iguodala (rest) Out – We are looking at a starting five of Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, Harrison Barnes, Draymond Green and Marreese Speights. Golden State will be a bit thin in the frontcourt with Festus Ezeli likely missing another game. We should see plenty of Barnes, Green, Speights and David Lee. The thing is though, Speights usually doesn’t play big minutes. My guess is this will be a 40-minute game from Green and he’s the one you should be targeting. Plus, after having two off games, he won’t be used very much.
Oklahoma City: None
Denver at Dallas (8.5) (215.5)
Denver: None. Note that Jameer Nelson will be making his debut tonight for the Nuggets, so don’t expect insane minutes from Ty Lawson again tonight. And do, don’t start thinking Jameer Nelson revenge game. Danilo Gallinari, Randy Foye and JaVale McGee are all still out, but this is old news.
Portland at San Antonio (-4.5) (199)
Portland: Robin Lopez (hand) Out – This is old news, but listing it just in case.
San Antonio: Marco Belinelli (groin) Out – Wait, no Kawhi Leonard? You bet. Leonard is set to return to action tonight. How much? Yeah right, like I am going to guess with Pop. Portland is pretty solid FPTS wise against all positions. PG is their weakest, but Tony Parker hasn’t been too heavily involved in the offense and his minutes are down. Patty Mills is actually playing the same amount of minutes as Parker and getting more FPTS at $4,200 compared to $5,500. So, with all this being said, Mills is actually in play.
Minnesota at Phoenix (-14) (216)
Minnesota: Ricky Rubio, Kevin Martin and Nikola Pekovic all still out – Essentially, no changes, and please don’t expect another insane outing from Mo Williams.
LA Lakers at Utah (-7.5) (194.5)
LA Lakers: Kobe Bryant (rest) Out – Kobe out and on the second of a back-to-back explains this. Wayne Ellington is your guy to start when Kobe rests. Ellington usually gets at least high-20 minutes in this scenario, but he isn’t that close to 1 FPT per minute. Ellington is iffy at best on the road with the Lakers projected only for 93.5 points.
Utah: Alec Burks (shoulder) Out – I know this is old news but I’m listing this for the people not up to date with Utah and that they have a very favorable matchup at home with the Lakers. Joe Ingles has been starting for Burks and getting about 26 minutes per game, but his numbers have been mediocre at best. We’ve seen a minor bump for Trey Burke, especially from a consistency stand point and the Lakers are by far the worst in terms of FPTS allowed to PGs. He is definitely in play. Also of note, Enes Kanter is back and in his normal starting role. The Lakers frontcourt is also terrible in terms of FPTS allowed, so he makes a great sneaky option at center tonight.
Miami at Sacramento (-3) (192)
Miami: Dwyane Wade (hamstring) Out – No surprise here. Give the usual bump to Mario Chalmers.
Sacramento: Rudy Gay (knee) Out, Ramon Sessions (back) Out, Ben McLemore (eye) ?, Omri Casspi ? – With all this offense out of the lineup, DeMarcus Cousins against that Heat frontcourt should go off tonight. Darren Collison should be primed for more scoring tonight as well, especially if McLemore and Casspi don’t give it a go. Look for Nik Stauskas to get a huge bump if McLemore and Casspi are out as well. Since this is a late game, it’s hard to balance this one, so for FanDuel it’s best to stick with Cousins and/or Collison.
Cleveland at LA Clippers (-8) (207.5)
Cleveland: Kevin Love (back) GTD – This is annoying. The Clippers have one of the worst frontcourt defenses fantasy wise, and this is a late game. If Love doesn’t play, Timofey Mozgov and especially Tristan Thompson are big plays. I would play both Mozgov and Thompson in a few GPPs because their upside would be fantastic. Do not play Kyrie in this matchup against Chris Paul.
LA Clippers: NoneView all posts by Nick Juskewycz