March Madness Bracketology: 3/13
Updated 3/13 5:05 p.m. ET
Selection Sunday is finally here!
With four of the five games providing the expected outcomes on Sunday, there was only one adjustment needed – swapping UConn and VCU on the No. 8 and No. 9 seed lines. This was due to St. Joseph’s defeating VCU for the Atlantic 10 title and UConn beating Memphis to win the American Tournament.
This is the final bracketology. Guessing the exact bracket is essentially impossible. But we’ll see how close we can get. Are all four No. 1 seeds correct? Are all the at-large teams in? How about the First Four?
But there are five more conference tournaments to decide – the Big Ten, SEC, Atlantic 10, American and Sun Belt. This bracketology is operating under the assumption that Michigan State defeats Purdue, Kentucky defeats Texas A&M, VCU defeats St. Joseph’s, UConn defeats Memphis and Arkansas Little Rock defeats Louisiana Monroe (yes I am taking all the favorites in Vegas for simplicity purposes). However, all of the favorites are between -3.5 and -5.5, so it’s likely at least one of these games will have the underdog win outright. There are three games that will significantly impact the bracket. The biggest is the American between Connecticut and Memphis. I believe Connecticut is in with a win or a loss. However, Memphis definitely needs to win to qualify for the dance. If Memphis wins, that would knock out one of the teams from the First Four to the NIT, and I think that team would be San Diego State. The second game is the Big Ten. If Michigan State wins, I have them clinching the last No. 1 seed. If it loses, I have Virginia and Michigan State essentially swapping spots (although the bracket would change some elsewhere per bracketing rules) for the No. 1 and No. 2 seeds in the same region. As for Purdue, they are a No. 4 seed with a loss and perhaps even with a win. However, there does seem to be a bit of a gap after 11 of the top 12 teams. If Purdue were to upset Michigan State and Texas A&M upset Kentucky (again, Vegas upset, not by conference seeds), I see Purdue snatching a No. 3 seed and taking Kentucky’s place (again this would require some bracket tweaking overall). The last game is the SEC. If Kentucky wins, they should get that No. 3 seed. If Texas A&M wins and Michigan State wins, I think Texas A&M will get the No. 3 seed. If Texas A&M and Purdue win, Purdue narrowly gets it for me, but that really could go either way. In the Atlantic 10, I think St. Joseph’s is a No. 7 seed no matter what happens tomorrow and VCU will be a No. 8 or No. 9 seed pending a win or loss. If Louisiana Monroe defeats Arkansas Little Rock, there will be some minor tweaking with the bracket and the smaller schools because Louisiana Monroe’s resume is a bit weaker than Arkansas Little Rock’s. But they would switch spots as far as being in or out is concerned.
With that, here is the bracket.
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