Is LeSean McCoy Significantly Undervalued at $8,500?
It’s hard to imagine any player being undervalued that’s above $8,000 at any position. Most players have enough variance that spending over $8,000 eliminates the chance of it being called a great value play.
However, McCoy is an exception to that this week.
Heading into Week 16, McCoy leads the NFL with 1,343 yards rushing. Not only that, he’s fifth in receiving yards for running backs with 507 yards. In DraftKings with full PPR value, that’s a huge bonus, especially since he’s caught 45 passes.
Now, a lot of people started McCoy in a favorable matchup last week against the Minnesota Vikings, where he only had eight carries and was able to get to 15.6 FPTS because of his five receptions for 68 yards. This was McCoy’s lowest fantasy production since Week 8 against the New York Giants. It’s important to remember that the Eagles were trailing most of the game and it was played indoors, which favors the passing game. Nick Foles threw the ball 48 times and the running backs combined for 13 carries. This game was more of a fluke and the Eagles will not look to abandon the run as early as they did.
There will be a lot of people overreacting to the one game to not start McCoy this week, especially since he’s the second-most expensive running back and Jamaal Charles is only $800 more against the Colts after his ridiculous 62.5 FPTS outing last week.
As for the upcoming matchup, the Bears are ranked dead last against the run at 152.4 yards per game and give up the fourth-most points to running backs. The over/under is 56, the highest of all the games this week and the highest for either team this season.
The weather is also an interesting situation. Temperatures are supposed to be in the mid-to-low 60s at kickoff, but rain and 15-20 MPH winds are expected. Should that weather come into play tomorrow night, it’s doubtful Nick Foles will be stretching the field very often. It obviously won’t be as bad as the blizzard game versus the Detroit Lions, but McCoy should get a lot of touches and be involved in the short passing game.
Another beneficial factor for McCoy is that Philadelphia is favored by three, and both teams are fighting for a playoff spot. There’s a great chance that not only will the Eagles ride their best player this week, there’s a great possibility for overtime.
Barring an injury, McCoy is nearly guaranteed for a huge week. In a best-case scenario, he has the potential to reach Charles’ fantasy output from last week. Worst-case scenario, he still gets you in the low 20s. Every element tells you that spending this $8,500 on McCoy is an obvious choice.
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