DraftKings Stock Watch NBA Dec 4th
I’ll be doing a Stock Watch every Wednesday for NBA. Look for it every week for plays you should be looking to make consistently.
Lance Stephenson $6,300 – It’s easy to stay away from Lance Stephenson after an 8.5 FPTS performance against the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday, but you shouldn’t. Stephenson was in foul trouble for most the game and was far from aggressive. In the three games prior, Stephenson’s put up at least 29 FPTS, including pulling down double-digit rebounds. He was also three points away from recording his second triple-double against the Washington Wizards last Friday. Going up against one of the worst defensive teams in the Utah Jazz tonight, Stephenson is worth the play.
Eric Gordon $6,400 – Eric Gordon has reestablished himself as the premier offensive and defensive threat on the New Orleans Pelicans. In the last four games, Gordon is averaging 35 FPTS. During this stretch, he’s playing 38.75 minutes, taken 15.25 FGA and forcing 2.5 steals. The good news is this production started happening before Anthony Davis fractured his hand. Granted the stats are slightly enhanced from the triple overtime game against the Chicago Bulls, Gordon is finding his groove. DraftKings did increase Gordon’s salary from $5,700 to $6,400. However, going against the Dallas Mavericks with a New Orleans -1.5 spread and an over/under of 207.5, he should have a big night.
Brandon Knight – $5,000 – Yes, Brandon Knight is going up against his former team in the Detroit Pistons, but that’s not the reason he’s a good play. Knight is finally healthy and has been in a rhythm the past three games, posting FPTS of 32.5, 47.25 and 27.25. Knight is also getting it done in terms of points, rebounds, assists and steals. DraftKings is slowly increasing his salary, but not enough. The Bucks are still banged up in the front court and that’s where Detroit’s strength is defensively. Plus, Detroit is coming off a back-to-back where it utilized a lot of energy in beating the Miami Heat last night. Not only is Knight a good play, don’t be surprised if the Bucks win tonight.
Andrew Bynum $4,600 – Everyone is going to play Andrew Bynum tonight. Literally, everyone is. In his last outing against the Chicago Bulls, Bynum recorded 30 minutes, 20 points, 10 rebounds, 5 blocks and 3 assists. All were season-highs except for the assists. Going up against the Denver Nuggets after the Nuggets are coming off a back-to-back, it seems like great value. I wouldn’t do it. While the Nuggets do struggle defending in the frontcourt, it’s more at the power forward position. Plus, Denver brings a very high level of energy with Kenneth Faried, J.J. Hickson and the surging Timofey Mozgov. The Bulls have largely been a mess since the Derrick Rose injury and their defense has been noticeably worse. I also wouldn’t expect Bynum to all of a sudden start playing 30-plus minutes every night and get those kind of numbers, especially the points and blocks. He might be worth $4,600, but you won’t get great value.
Derrick Favors $7,200 – Derrick Favors has been bouncing around the $7k range this season, which is somewhat on the high end given his production. He had a monster game against the San Antonio Spurs on Nov.15 with 58 FPTS, but other than that, he’s had a limited ceiling. Going up against the tough frontcourt of the Indiana Pacers (No. 1 OPP PPG, No. 3 REB PCT), it’s unlikely Favors will get a double-double or crack 30FPTS. Favors isn’t someone to add after you make your value plays.
J.J. Hickson $5,800 – DraftKings finally caught on to Hickson’s numbers once he got the starting job for the injured JaVale McGee. However, they caught on too much. Because Brian Shaw plays a deep rotation and changes it constantly, Hickson’s variance is incredibly high. He put up 50.75 FPTS against the Oklahoma City Thunder in mid November, but he also had a mere 8.5 FPTS versus the Toronto Raptors on Sunday. Between him, Faried and Mozgov, you never know who will be the guy that steps up. Hickson’s FPTS average is 23.5, which oddly enough, is about right. He’s not worth the risk, even if the Cleveland Cavaliers are average defensively and on the glass.
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