College Football Daily Fantasy Week 10 Picks – Night Slate
FanDuel prices 1st. DraftKings prices 2nd.
! Injury/Starter watch
A bit short on time this week, so we are going only with top picks for the night slate. Hit me up on the forum for more options with your lineups!
Baker Mayfield $9,300/$8,000 – Oklahoma is projected for 44 points with a -25.5 line at home. Mayfield has been one of the best quarterbacks all season and should thrive with Iowa State tied for 85th in yards per pass allowed (YPPA).
Kyler Murray $7,600/$7,400 – FanDuel and DraftKings raised Murray’s price now that he’s the starter, but they didn’t raise it enough. Texas A&M gets another fantastic matchup at home with a weak Auburn defense. A&M is projected for 34 points with a -7 line at home, and Murray’s dual-threat ability gives him one of the highest ceilings of the slate.
Ezekiel Elliott $9,600/$8,400 – Ohio State is -23 at home and projected for 38 points. While the Buckeyes were playing more effectively with J.T. Barrett at quarterback, the bigger deal to me is that the OL is playing significantly better now, and they’re ironically improving at the same as last season when they hit their stride. This will be Elliott’s second game of going over 200 yards rushing this season.
Royce Freeman $9,200/$8,500 – Freeman has been on an absolute terror. I know some people are worried about the 15 carries in a triple OT game at Arizona State, but that was matchup oriented and won’t happen at home against Cal. Freeman will get back to over 20 carries and go over 150 yards as Oregon is -3.5 and projected for 40 points.
Tra Carson $6,100/$5,000 – As expected, Carson got back on track with over 20 carries at home last week against South Carolina and totaled 21 FPTS (was vultured once too). We should see similar results as Texas A&M is -7 and projected for 34 points with Auburn tied for 102nd in yards per rush allowed (YPRA).
Chris Swain $5,600/$5,400 – While Navy is +8 at Memphis, that won’t stop them from running the triple option and are still projected for 29 points (also like Navy to score more than this in a shootout). Swain is also underpriced regardless of the opponent.
JuJu Smith $7,600/$6,600 ! – Smith is questionable heading into this contest and probably heading for a game-time decision. Smith is one of the best receivers in the nation and Arizona is tied for 81st in YPPA. USC is -20 and projected for 43 points. This is the latest game of the night, so we may not find out about his status before lock.
Aaron Burbridge $7,300/$6,700 – Nebraska has one of the worst pass defenses in the FBS, but one of the best rush defenses. This has been an exploitable matchup DFS wise all year. Michigan State is -6 and projected for 32 points. Burbridge has gone over 100 yards in six of Michigan State’s eight games.
Isaiah Jones $6,300 (DraftKings) – Jones has four games of at least 23 FPTS and is underpriced in this matchup hosting South Florida. East Carolina is -4 and projected for 29 points, but more importantly South Florida is tied for 75th in YPPA.
Kenny Lawler $6,100/$6,100 – This one is going to be a shootout. Cal is +3.5, but they’re projected for 36 points and Oregon’s pass defense is average at best. Lawler has a ton of upside for someone at this price as well.
Chrisitian Kirk $5,800/$5,600 – I already mentioned the great matchup hosting Auburn. Throw on top that Kirk’s price has dropped this much? No brainer.
Braxton Miller $5,300/$4,400 – This has a chance to be the play of the entire day. It also has a chance to be a bust. What do I mean? There has been a lot of noise within the Ohio State program that they have something in the works for Braxton this week. Tim Shoemaker of Eleven Warriors at SB Nation gave us some insight, but the one quote in particular that stands out is from head coach Urban Meyer.
“A lot going on,” Meyer said. “Just a busy week for [Miller].”
This could easily be just be a bunch of noise and that maybe they plan on using Miller more in the wildcat, which would boost his value Saturday night. However, Braxton’s shoulder is now healthy, and there’s no reason why he couldn’t play quarterback. Plus, it’s not like Cardale Jones has been spectacular this season, and Braxton is the senior.
Since Braxton is so cheap, even if this is all just a bunch of media nonsense, I like Miller in this matchup to put up some decent numbers with Ohio State as such a big favorite at home.
Although, if Braxton were to be the quarterback Saturday night, can you imagine using a dual-threat quarterback at $5,300/$4,400 at the wide receiver slot? He would be a 100 percent must-play in every way shape and form.
TE is FanDuel only. All TEs who are $2,800 or more are in play and there isn’t a big difference on who is the best of the bunch, but these are my top ones.
Stephen Anderson $3,600 – The best tight end option of the night and has been running bad in the red zone. This is an expected shootout with Oregon and Anderson will get plenty of looks.
Alan Cross $2,800 – Very consistent in an expected competitive shootout with Navy.View all posts by Nick Juskewycz