CFB DFS Week 2 Picks – Late Afternoon Contests
FanDuel prices 1st, DraftKings prices 2nd
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Note: There are some crazy salary differentials between the websites. While I list the prices on both sites most of the time and if you play on both of them, I definitely recommend going for the value on each site, which is why I list as many picks as I do. Note, DraftKings’ salaries should be slightly cheaper as a general rule of thumb because of the salary structure.
Baker Mayfield $8,800/$8,600 – The Sooners are projected to score 32 points in a shootout with Tennessee in Knoxville. The new air-raid offense for Oklahoma obviously favors Mayfield, who should also put up better rushing numbers than he did last week versus Akron. Tennessee’s secondary struggled against up-tempo offenses last year and that seemed to be the case to start this season against Bowling Green.
Jared Goff $8,100/$9,000 – Cal is projected to score 33 points where they are favored by 14 at home. While you might be afraid that San Diego State were 8th in pass defense last season, this is completely skewed by playing in the Mountain West (West division) that had no QBs and primarily heavy rushing teams. We should see a full game of Goff spreading it around for over 350 yards.
Matt Davis $8,100/$7,800 – SMU is projected for 33 points and favored by three. Let that sink in after being the laughing stock of college football last season. They are at home against a weak North Texas team, and this projection is outstanding for a QB in Matt Davis who is a dual threat.
Paxton Lynch $8,000/$7,300 – Absolutely love this matchup for Lynch and Memphis for similar reasons to Davis. The Tigers are projected to score 38 points and are -13. That’s a great line to have for an offense fantasy wise. Lynch is a dual-threat QB who often keeps the ball a lot in the red zone. The floor and ceiling for him in this contest is outstanding.
Michael Birdsong $7,200/$6,800 – Marshall is projected for over 31 points with a line of -3 against Ohio. This is a great line for any QB, but for a dual-threat guy at this price? Outstanding. Marshall didn’t have the ball very long against Purdue because of the pick-six’s and Purdue’s long drives, so we can expect much better fantasy production this week.
Favian Upshaw $7,200/$5,700 – Outstanding value on DraftKings. Despite a tough opener at West Virginia, I’m expecting a big bounceback for Upshaw. While he’s not the normal starter with Kevin Ellison suspended one more game, Upshaw does have plenty of experience from last season, and Western Michigan at home is a much better opponent. With this triple option attack, his upside is massive given the price.
Montell Cozart $6,800/$6,000 – While Kansas is a 13-point underdog, they’re still projected for 24 points. Cozart did have the horrific error of the fumbled snap last week, but he put up some great numbers and is a solid dual-threat QB. He has sneaky value with upside.
Tyler Stewart $6,000/$5,400 – Stewart is the next QB in line for Nevada’s up-tempo scheme with Stewart being a dual-threat guy. He doesn’t have blazing speed, but he consistently gets his opportunities. He’s on the cheap going against an Arizona team that looked atrocious on defense last week versus UTSA. UTSA was a squad with the fewest returning starters in the nation, and they actually put up 525 yards of offense on them. Nevada is projected for 25.5 points in this game, but with it being in Reno and that the Wolfpack always rise up against the Pac-12, I think they’ll score more than that. Nevada should get to at least 400 yards, and Stewart will get a big chunk of that throwing and running.
Devon Johnson $8,800/$8,900 – Getting 11 carries to Remi Watson’s six is a little bit troubling, but in a competitive game where Marshall is projected for over 31 points, I expect Johnson to get his typical 20-plus carries for about 150 yards and a couple TDs.
Jarvion Franklin $8,500/$7,900 – If you want someone who could get the rock A LOT, here’s your guy. Franklin had 29 or more touches in six games last season! The best part is Franklin gets the ball this frequently when the game is close. The line is Western Michigan -4.5. Franklin’s upside is through the roof.
Qadree Ollison $7,800/$6,600 (!) – This pick is only if Chris James is ruled out before the contest. If he is, Ollison should see a ton of carries as he was the guy who took over against Youngstown State when the injuries started piling up for Pittsburgh. Both sites did a reasonable job pricing him given the situation, but nothing has changed with the Pittsburgh OL, and Ollison should have a ton of running room as the primary back. Pittsburgh is projected for 31 points and should rush for about 200 yards.
Matt Breida $6,700/$6,800 – Fairly underpriced, particularly on FanDuel. Breida rushed for a dominant 1,096 yards in a run heavy triple option attack. That’s particularly impressive when you factor in that he split time the first four games of last season. Brieda rushed for over 150 yards four times with two of those occasions going over 200 yards, so the upside is huge. Georgia Southern is back home and projected to score 25 points. Keep in mind that despite Georgia Southern is a 4.5-point underdog, that’s not that much in college football, they are a very run-heavy team in general and I actually like the Panthers to win this game with a bit of a let down game for Western Michigan after facing Sparty last week. Upside here is huge.
Daniel Lasco $5,600 (DK only) – With a blowout last week, Lasco saw minimal action for Cal with only five touches. He was the clear No. 1 back last year with 210 carries for 1,115 yards and 12 TDs. In a more competitive game with San Diego State, we should see over 100 yards rushing from Lasco.
Ke’aun Kinner $6,100/$4,700 – I’m generally not into RBs who are double digit dogs, but Kansas was trailing South Dakota State 31-7, and Kinner still got the ball 27 times. The Jayhawks probably won’t put up 38 points again, but they are projected for 24, and Kinner has fantastic value.
Jeffery Wilson $3,800 (DK only) – Possibly a huge steal here. Wilson was the main RB last year, but got injured for most of the season. He is listed as the team’s starter again this season, and I believe DraftKings thinks he’s the backup. North Texas is projected for 28 points.
Corey Davis $7,500/$8,600 – A much better play on FanDuel. Davis was one of the best WRs in all of college football last year, and he showed it once again versus Michigan State as he went off for 10 catches and 154 yards. Western Michigan is projected for 29 points, and Georgia Southern’s secondary couldn’t cover the deep ball whatsoever in their opener at West Virginia. Look for another big game from Davis in this tight ball game.
Tyler Boyd $7,700/$8,000 – Again, this is a much better play on FanDuel. Boyd served his one-game suspension, and it’s clear the Panthers do not have another guy coming up to take the workload off of Boyd. Without James Conner, Chad Voytik could lean on him a bit more, and the Panthers are still projected for 31 points even without one of their stars.
Davonte Allen $5,600 (DK only) – Allen is the primary option now with Tommy Shuler gone, and Allen provides outstanding upside with his speed. He’s simply underpriced on DraftKings and draws a great matchup with Ohio where the Thundering Herd are projected for over 31 points.
J.D. McKissic $5,800/$4,300 – Arkansas State gets blown out by USC immediately and are only 10-point underdogs to Missouri? Granted it is at home, but this Red Wolves team is much better than the one in Southern California last week. While Fredi Knighten is one of the best dual-threat QBs in the nation, he loves going to McKissic on a consistent basis and would have had a shot at 1,000 yards last season had he not missed four games. McKissic led Arkansas State last week with five receptions last week, Arkansas State is projected for 24 points, and I expect this Red Wolves team to put up close to 400 yards of offense with a majority of it in the air. McKissic will be the biggest beneficiary.
Tevin Jones $4,500 (FD) / Mose Frazier $4,500 (DK) – The two outside Memphis WRs are underpriced on the two sites as listed. The Tigers are projected for 38 points, and if you want to do a QB-WR GPP combo in this matchup, these would be your options. GPP lineup variance only here.
Speedy Noil $4,400 (DK only) – Texas A&M is projected for 46 points as a 29.5-point favorite. Kyle Allen will lead a potent passing attack that could hit close to 400 yards against a weak Ball State secondary. Noil, for whatever reason, is super cheap on DraftKings for someone who has big-game potential. Most people will play Christan Kirk after his big game against Arizona State (special teams too) or Josh Reynolds since he’s the X WR, but the fact is A&M always spreads the wealth, and Noil has the reasonable floor for his cheap price and a high ceiling.
Andrew Pratt $4,500/$3,300 – Pratt is the No. 1 X WR on Akron and returns the most receiving stats of anyone on the Zips. He didn’t catch a ball last week against Oklahoma, but barely anyone did as the OU defense absolutely dominated. Akron is a more reasonable 13-point dog to Pittsburgh, but they are at home, projected for and I’m expecting them to make the game closer than that. The Zips should throw for more in the 250-yard range this game, and if the No. 1 option is minimum salary, I’ll take it.
Antonio Callaway $4,500/$3,000 – After missing a team meeting, Demarcus Robinson has been demoted to third string. While Callaway is a starter already, he should definitely benefit from this, not to mention Jim McElwain’s passing attack that has Florida WRs underpriced already. While Florida went incredibly deep into the depth chart against New Mexico State, this game should be a bit more competitive with a -20.5 line. The Gators are projected to score 36 points, and Callaway will have plenty of opportunities to get a piece of that.
TE is FanDuel only
Mark Andrews $2,600 – Oklahoma has its new air-raid attack, and Andrews benefited with four catches for 60 yards last week in a bit of a blowout. With the Sooners spreading everyone the defense out, Andrews gets some great looks, and Oklahoma is projected to put up 32 points.
Ryan Yurachek $2,200 – Yurachek should see a bump in stats this year as the team’s primary TE. It started last week with four catches for 29 yards and a TD. In a great matchup versus Ohio, this should continue.
Alan Cross $2,000 – While Cross didn’t record a catch last week, he is still one of the best tight ends in the American. Like mentioned before, the Tigers have a fantastic matchup, and Cross tied for the most TD receptions on the team last year with four.View all posts by Nick Juskewycz