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The Big Breakdown NBA: Injuries and Previous Matchups

I often overlook team injury situations and previous matchup data when deciding on who to pick on any given night in DFS NBA. With that said, I wanted to make a post that exclusively researched those topics, so you can set your lineups with a full set of information at your disposal.

Orlando @ Cleveland

Previous Matchups

http://www.basketball-reference.com/boxscores/201312130ORL.html

http://www.basketball-reference.com/boxscores/201401020CLE.html

Matchup Notes

  • Fuzzy data because of previous injuries
  • Kyrie Irving had 35.8% USG in the one game he played, 7 points above season average.
  • Dion Waiters averaged 19 shot attempts per game
  • Anderson Varejao averaged nearly 20 rebounds a game, although he had 25 in an OT game where Vucevic did not play.
  • No one on the Magic had particularly good outings except Jameer Nelson, although he registered only a 16.3% USG, nearly 4 points below season average.
  • Victor Oladipo had one fantastic game where he broke 50 fantasy points.
  • Varejao is still out, which means Zeller will get the start. +Thompson, +Zeller, +Bennet.
  • Dion Waiters is doubtful. +Jack, +Irving, +CJ Miles
  • Tobias Harris was inserted into the starting lineup and played well. +Harris, -Oladipo.
  • Each game was low scoring and slow paced
  • No one in particular did well or hit value consistently.
  • Jonas Valanciunas was probably the best performer, hitting 15/10 in the latter two outings without Rudy Gay.
  • Probably a good fade.
  • Amir Johnson returned from injury, but Patrick Patterson started anyways.
  • Al Jefferson registered an extraordinarily high USG%, combining for almost 37%, 9 points above his season average.
  • Andre Drummond registered 10 and 11 offensive rebounds in each game, his top offensive rebounding totals of the season.
  • Kemba Walker had two fantastic games, both on the road. With this matchup at home, he should fare even better.
  • None to speak of.
  • Al Horford played in both matchups, making this data less useful
  • John Wall had solid games with above average USG%, nearly 30% both games
  • Bradley Beal played in neither game
  • Jeff Teague had very high USG% in one game, 36.1%, 10 points above his season average.
  • Wizards PFs did well in both outings.
  • Demarre Carroll is out, Cartier Martin started in his place last game, but they have been mostly starting Lou Williams. +Williams, +Korver, +Martin.
  • Gustavo Ayon left yesterdays game with a shoulder injury. Brand played most of his minutes. With Antic, Horford, and Ayon out, Brand is the only real Center option. ++Brand, + Scott.
  • Anthony Davis was injured in the first quarter and left the game, but managed 7 points and 4 rebounds in 10 minutes.
  • Tyreke Evans did very well off the bench.
  • Carmelo did not do that well despite being guarded by Ryan Anderson most of the game.
  • Bargnani had the best game, registering 17 points, 7 rebounds, 2 steals, and 6 blocks.
  • Anthony Davis appears to have his worst matchup of the season, as DVP projects him to perform -8.5 FP below an average matchup.
  • Shumpert returned yesterday. Did not play much.
  • JR Smith is playing with mask because of a face injury, and did poorly. He is risky.
  • Amare Stoudemire is playing very well and eclipsing 20 minutes nearly every game he plays. He has a tough matchup against Anthony Davis though.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. played 24 minutes and scored 23 points. With Amare getting more playing time and JR Smith struggling, Hardaway should get a boost.
  • Beno Udrih probably won’t play tonight. +Prigioni, +Felton.
  • Paul George had a great game, but managed 6 TO, hit all 4 3’s he took, and had below average USG%.
  • Kevin Love did well, registering 20 points and 17 rebounds, but struggled from the field, going 6 for 20.
  • Ricky Rubio was a solid performer, filling up the stat sheet with 7 points, 9 rebounds, 7 assists, and 5 steals.
  • George Hill performed extremely well, with 26 points, 3 rebounds, 7 assists, 5 steals, and a block, and a 20% USG, 5 points above his season average.
  • Kevin Martin is out. Chase Budinger starting in his place. While Indiana is a tough defense, Budinger is mostly a shooter and should be a bit matchup proof. +Love, +Rubio, +Brewer.
  • Nikola Pekovic is out, Ronny Turiaf continues to start in his place. Another boost for Love, Rubio, and Brewer.
  • Jared Sullinger had the flu last game and therefore played under 20 minutes. He should bounce back in this game.
  • Avery Bradley is out for Boston’s entire road trip. Gerald Wallace should start in his place. +Wallace, +Bayless.
  • Eric Bledsoe is still out but should return soon. Gerald Green playing quite well of late and is a strong start.
  • Complete blowout, Trey Burke did not play, and Brook Lopez played, skewing the data.
  • Enes Kanter started at PF and did well.
  • Gordan Hayward had a great game, with 22 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists. He had a USG of 26.8%, a few points abvove his season average.
  • Everyone on Brooklyn did well, but just did not play very many minutes.
  • Derrick Favors is a GTD. Kanter should start in his place if he’s out. +Kanter, +Evans.
  • Richard Jefferson is sick and may be out. +Burks, +Evans.
  • Jason Terry and Reggie Evans were just traded to Sacramento. Slight bump to bigs and D-Will.
  • Nicolas Batum recorded a triple double in one game, while nearly getting one in the next game.
  • Damian Lillard did well in both games, with a USG% a few points above average.
  • Boris Diaw broke 25 FPTS in both games.
  • Remarkably, Lamarcus Aldridge, Joel Freeland, and Meyers Leonard are all out, which basically leaves Portland with two usable big men, Thomas Robinson and Robin Lopez. Robinson is probably the most slam dunk start of the night. +++ Robinson, +Lopez.
  • Aldridge’s injury should mean a bigger load to carry for scorers on the team. +Lillard, +Batum, +Matthews.
  • Tony Parker is out. +Mills, +Joseph.
  • Splitter and Leonard both could play tonight. If they don’t, +Bellineli, +Green, +Diaw.
  • Manu Ginobli played last night but was limited to very few minutes. Unclear if he will play a back to back. +Bellineli, +Green.
  • Sacramento benched their starters in both games.
  • Steph Curry had great outing both games, and registered over 30% USG in each.
  • Klay Thompson did very well in both games, scoring over 25 pts in each game.
  • Andrew Bogut was quite good from a FPPM perspective, however because Cousins was benched both games he did not play very much.
  • Isaiah Thomas was probably the best Sacramento performer, but still did not manage many fantasy points.
  • Cousins actually did very well in the latter game, scoring 24 points in only 21 minutes.
  • Marcus Thornton was traded. +Ben McLemore.
  • Demarcus Cousins is doubtful tonight. Aaron Gray should start in his pace. +Thompson, +Williams, +Gay, +Thomas.
  • Andrew Bogut is likely out tonight. It’s hard to tell who the starting lineup will be, but GSW has been unafraid to roll out Draymond Green at PF. +O’Neal, +Green. +Speights.
  • James Harden did incredibly well in both games, averaging 36.5 Points, 6.5 Rebounds, 4.5 Assists, 4.5 steals, and a block, breaking 30% USG in each game.
  • Dwight Howard did fairly well in both games, breaking 50 FPTS in the latter game.
  • Terrance Jones only played one game, but managed 15 points and 13 rebounds.
  • Jeremy Lin did well in both games.
  • The Lakers deployed different lineups in both games, with only Jodie Meeks consistently performing well.
  • Houston is a great matchup on paper and should give up fantasy points to a lot of injury depleted, value play heavy Lakers.
  • The Lakers have massive amounts of injuries.
  • Nick Young, Xavier Henry, Steve Nash, and Pau Gasol are all out.
  • Farmar is a GTD.
  • The expected starting lineup is Marshall, Blake, Johnson, Kelly, and Kaman.
  • Shawne Williams started the past two games and should get plenty of playting time.
  • Jodie Meeks is back and will come off the bench. Unclear if there is any restrictions.
  • Kaman has been a fantasy beast and should continue to play well.
  • Patrick Beverly is a GTD. Probably plays.
  • DraftKings is offering a 100% deposit bonus up to $600 if you sign up through Fantasy Winners. With the NBA season just getting under way, now is a great time to get into fantasy NBA on Draftkings. Use our link to sign-up today!

    View all posts by Daniel Steinberg
Daniel Steinberg

About the Author

Daniel Steinberg Daniel Steinberg is a former bond trader at a multi-billion dollar proprietary trading firm in Chicago. He uses his knowledge of statistics and his creativity from his career as a poker professional to create the most advanced Daily Fantasy statistical analysis that you will find anywhere. Follow him on twitter @DanielSingerS

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