Analyzing the NBA Trade Deadline Moves for Daily Fantasy
While there weren’t any blockbuster trades at the trade deadline, there were certainly a handful of transactions that will affect daily fantasy players’ decisions on who to play. Even though sites like DraftKings aren’t allowing daily fantasy players to use guys who were moved at the trade deadline, you can still use this information against whatever their salaries will be once they are back.
Philadelphia – Receives Danny Granger, Eric Maynor, Earl Clark (now waived) and a ton of draft picks – Loses Evan Turner, Spencer Hawes, Lavoy Allen
The 76ers are obviously in tank mode. First off, don’t be surprised if Granger is bought out. But if he isn’t, Granger should move into the starting lineup and see a huge increase in minutes. But I’m sure you will see a bump in his salary too. Granger was reportedly “pissed” when the trade happened. Remember in terms of offensive production, the 76ers actually still have solid depth (I really do mean that). This isn’t like Granger will come in and become a high-salary type player. If his salary is $6,000 or less, I think he’s a solid value play. But to expect him to come in and be his old self would be a massive overvalue. He’s a 25-30 FPTS player.
As for Eric Maynor, he could get a few minutes behind MCW, but don’t expect a lot of production from him.
Cleveland – Receives Spencer Hawes – Loses Earl Clark
Hawes is available on DraftKings tonight for $6,600, which is essentially his Philadelphia salary. There’s no official word if Hawes will be the full-time starter going forward, but for stretching the floor purposes, I’m guessing he will. Plus, with Varejao still out, he’ll definitely be starting for now. I see this being a slight bump in production at best. Cleveland has more offensive weapons than Phili and run fewer possessions. At the same time, the Cavs made this move to make a playoff run and there’s no doubt Hawes will be an important part of the offense. He should also be active on the glass with a short backcourt and playing next to Thompson at PF. His $6,600 salary sounds about right.
Indiana – Receives Evan Turner and Lavoy Allen – Loses Danny Granger
I’m hesitant to say anything about Allen. With Ian Mahinmi and Andrew Bynum also on the roster, we don’t know how he will fall into the rotation. Whatever it is, his role will likely be minimal.
Turner will see a downgrade in minutes and production. But it’ll be interesting to see how much daily fantasy sites downgrade his salary. There’s no chance Turner gets more than 25 minutes per game with Paul George and Lance Stephenson in the starting five. But Turner will have the ball in his hands a lot off the bench, especially if Frank Vogel doesn’t construct his rotation for Turner to be paired with George or Stephenson. If Turner drops to anywhere in the $5,000 range, I’m tempted to play him.
Denver – Receives Jan Vesely and Aaron Brooks – Loses Andre Miller and Jordan Hamilton
Don’t expect Vesley to get any meaningful minutes. The Nuggets’ depth issues are in the backcourt and Denver mainly did this trade for salary cap purposes. Brooks on the other hand will instantly be thrown into the starting five. Lawson is still out with a rib injury and he’s the only healthy PG on the team. Remember, Randy Foye moved over to the 1 while Denver was shopping Andre Miller. Brooks has had a near minimum salary all year, but that number should come up. Brooks won’t do what Kendall Marshall has been doing for the Lakers, but I do expect Brooks to make a solid impact instantly. The Nuggets also face the Chicago Bulls tonight, which is a tough fantasy matchup. So if Brooks has a rough first night, you might want to jump on him against a more favorable opponent in the near future.
Washington – Receives Andre Miller – Loses Jan Vesely and Eric Maynor
Miller finally lands a secure backup PG spot. Will he fit? Sure, he’s a veteran and has been successful on every team he’s played for. But how many minutes will he get behind John Wall and what kind of stats will he provide? Not a ton. If he’s near minimum salary and the Wizards have a favorable matchup, that’s the only time you should consider him.
Houston – Receives Jordan Hamilton – Loses Aaron Brooks
Hamilton will make a stronger impact than most may think. He had some solid moments with Denver while Brian Shaw was figuring out his rotation. Hamilton is the only true backup 2 on the team and will provide a scoring and rebounding boost. If he’s minimum salary and the Rockets are playing at home against a team like the Lakers, draft him.
Golden State Warriors – Receive Steve Blake – Loses MarShon Brooks and Kent Bazemore
This was the steal of the deadline. The Warriors were my preseason pick in the West and this move solidifies their bench. But having said that, Blake won’t provide a ton off the bench. Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson will still get a vast majority of the minutes and he’s still next to Jordan Crawford and Harrison Barnes in the backcourt. Blake is only a good play if the Warriors have a matchup like the one described for the Rockets and Hamilton.
LA Lakers – Receives MarShon Brooks and Kent Bazemore – Loses Steve Blake
This one we will have to keep a close eye on. Obviously the Lakers are a moving target. For right now, Bazemore should have the edge on Brooks for playing time at the 2. He will likely backup Jodie Meeks vs. the Celtics tonight. What does Bazemore bring? Three-pointers and hilarious celebrations. That’s about it. The Lakers are tanking.
Charlotte – Receives Gary Neal and Luke Ridnour – Loses Ramon Sessions
The Bobcats are not tanking and looking to make a surprising run at the playoffs. Neither guard will start, but look for both guys to get quality minutes off the bench, especially Neal. Consider Neal a slightly better play since Kemba Walker gets more minutes than Gerald Henderson and that Neal provides efficient numbers in terms of points and rebounds. Neal is worth playing around $4,500 on DraftKings.
Milwaukee – Receives Ramon Sessions – Loses Gary Neal and Luke Ridnour
You would think Sessions should be a fine play with the short-handed Bucks. But it’s still the Bucks and it’s not like Sessions will get big minutes behind Brandon Knight. He’s no better off in Milwaukee than in Charlotte. How will he even get assists with that bench? Bucks are tanking.
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