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AFC South Week 1 DraftKings Daily Fantasy Preview

With three weeks of NFL Preseason in the books and the first roster cuts taking place, we’ll speed up the process with these DraftKings previews for Week 1. Today, it’s the AFC South, which is certainly the weakest division heading into 2014. But there is some great value here. All four teams will be stepping out of their division for Week 1 too.

 

Houston Texans

QB $
1. Ryan Fitzpatrick5400
2. Case Keenum5000
3. Tom Savage5000
RB $
1. Arian Foster7200
2. Joonathan Grimes3000
3. Alfred Blue3000
WR $
1. Andre Johnson6600
2. DeAndre Hopkins4500
3. Mike Thomas3500
4. DeVier Posey3000
5. Keshawn Martin3000
TE$
1. Garrett Graham3200
2. C.J. Fiedorowicz3300

Washington at Houston (-2.5) O/U 46

After a rough first preseason game, Ryan Fitzpatrick looks a bit better and should be the Week 1 starter. Still, despite going against a Redskins defense at near minimum salary for a QB, I don’t see enough upside from him. Bill O’Brien is running the show who likes to pound the rock, there are a lot of unproven WRs after Andre Johnson and the upside is minimal. The only good note here is that Brandon Meriweather is suspended two games for his helmet-to-helmet hit on Torrey Smith, but that’s not nearly enough of a reason to use him.

However, Arian Foster is a great play. Foster is healthy and only $7,200. The Redskins rush defense was average last year, but they gave up an NFL-high 23 TDs on the ground. Plus, the depth in their backfield is not nearly as strong without Ben Tate. It’s now Jonathan Grimes and Alfred Blue behind him. Foster also has great DraftKings PPR upside.

At WR, there’s too much risk for Andre Johnson, despite no one behind him really stepping up last season. He might get a TD, but with a questionable passing game and a lot of uncertainty with this team, his upside is fairly minimal. Then with Owen Daniels gone, the Texans need someone to help their star WR out if they want to have a chance at making the playoffs. Some might think of using Garrett Graham at TE, but rookie C.J. Fiedorowicz has been playing well too in the preseason. At this point DeAndre Hopkins is still the most likely guy to emerge, but there hasn’t been much evidence of it so far.

Bottom line for Week 1: Foster, Foster, Foster

 

Indianapolis Colts

QB$
1. Andrew Luck8300
2. Matt Hasselbeck5000
3. Chandler Harnish5000
RB$
1. Trent Richardson5300
2. Ahmad Bradshaw3900
3. Dan Herron3000
WR $
1. Reggie Wayne5100
2. T.Y. Hilton5500
3. Hakeem Nicks4400
4. Da’Rick Rogers3000
5. Donte Moncrief3000
TE$
1. Dwayne Allen3200
2. Coby Fleener3700

Indianapolis at Denver (-7) O/U 55.5

A lot of DraftKings players will use guys in this game. The 55.5 O/U is the highest of the weekend, and there are plenty of noteworthy names on both sides.

Andrew Luck is a good play for obvious reasons. A lot of points are expected, the Broncos ran the most plays per game last year (up-tempo means more plays for Luck) and his WR/TE crew is healthy again. Plus, even though Luck only threw the ball 38 times last year vs the Broncos, the Colts were ahead for a majority of the contest. Being a 7-point dog, Luck is likely to throw the ball trying to keep up with this Broncos offense.

But he’s not my favorite QB for a couple reasons. Denver’s defense is healthy with Von Miller back. DeMarcus Ware also comes over from Dallas at defensive end. But perhaps more importantly, they have two new starting corners – Aqib Talib and rookie Bradley Roby. Granted it’ll be Week 1 and the pieces may not be perfectly in place, but this defense should be much improved from last year.

Now we get to the big question mark in Trent Richardson. Will he break out? And if so, this season? Well, through three preseason games and getting a fair number of touches in each game, he’s averaged 2.6, 2.3 and 2.8 yards per carry. There hasn’t been a lot to be excited about.

Having said that, keep in mind the Colts OL has been atrocious in run blocking since Richardson has arrived. Anytime you watch a Colts game, note how bad the push is on both sides of the line no matter the formation. I’m not really high on Richardson this year, but I do feel he’s undervalued since he should get a vast majority of the carries. If the OL starts to improve in a weak division, there will be some chances to use him. It just won’t be in Week 1.

As for the WRs, most remember T.Y. Hilton being amazing down the stretch last year when Reggie Wayne was out. However, before and after the injury, he was always boom or bust. If you include the Colts’ two playoff games, Hilton never had a game with just one TD reception. He caught two versus the Seahawks, three against the Texans and two in the miraculous comeback against the Chiefs. In seven of his 18 games, he went over 100 yards. However, in 10 of the other 11, he had 52 yards or less. With Wayne back, Dwyane Allen returning and Hakeem Nicks now in the picture, his consistency shouldn’t be any better. Yes, he’s proven to be a great threat, but that boom or bust factor isn’t going anywhere. Even though his $5,500 is tempting, I’d rather take someone who is a clear No. 1 receiver.

Luck is the play here.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars

QB$
1. Chad Henne5200
2. Blake Bortles5000
3. Ricky Stanzi5000
4. Stephen Morris5000
WR$
1. Toby Gerhart5600
2. Jordan Todman3700
3. Storm Johnson3000
WR$
1. Cecil Shorts4900
1. Marqise Lee3500
2. Allen Hurns3000
2. Mike Brown3000
3. Allen Robinson3200
TE$
1. Marcedes Lewis3500
2. Clay Harbor3000

Jacksonville at Philadelphia (-10.5) O/U 52.5

In all fairness to Chad Henne, I think he’s been better than most have given him credit for. Granted he needs a legit OL for pass protection, but his accuracy and arm strength have been very good when that happens.

Nevertheless, if Jacksonville doesn’t start Blake Bortles, the franchise is incredibly dumb. With Bortles’ accuracy from the pocket and on the run, his ability to scramble and hit almost every route in the book, he has to be the guy.

With a 52.5 O/U and being the underdog, whoever is the QB, he should be throwing it often to keep up with the Eagles offense. He will be a worthwhile play in GPPs.

At RB, not specifically for this game, but I like Toby Gerhart a lot. He’s clearly the No. 1 back and will be used on the goal line. He has underrated speed and doesn’t go down after the first hit. Look to use him Week 3 against the Colts.

As for WR, both Cecil Shorts and Marqise Lee are very good value plays at $4,900 and $3,500 respectively. Along with the same reason listed before on why Henne/Bortles could/should be used, the Jaguars don’t have a ton of receivers. Justin Blackmon is suspended, Ace Sanders is suspended the first four games and the other rookie Allen Robinson is hurt. One guy who has come on as of late in preseason is rookie Allen Hurns. He caught 7 passes for 113 yards against the Lions last week. He’s now listed as the No. 3 receiver, but we’ll see how he actually does against the starters in the regular season. You could definitely put Shorts or Lee in a DraftKings lineup or two.

 

Tennessee Titans

QB$
1. Jake Locker6100
2. Charlie Whitehurst5000
3. Zach Mettenberger5000
RB$
1. Bishop Sankey5700
2. Shonn Greene4100
3. Dexter McCluster3000
WR$
1. Kendall Wright5700
1. Nate Washington3000
2. Justin Hunter3800
2. Michael Preston3000
3. Derek Hagan3000
TE$
1. Delanie Walker3300
2. Craig Stevens3000

Tennessee at Kansas City (-4.5) O/U 44

There are a lot more questions than answers when it comes to the Titans. Plus, with an undesirable matchup at the Chiefs, all Titans are a fade here.

Here’s what we need to look at though.

Will Jake Locker improve and stay healthy? Will Shonn Greene be the No. 1 running back along with being the goal-line back? How many snaps does Bishop Sankey honestly get with Dexter McClutster also there? Is the DraftKings PPR value split between the two? Is Justin Hunter going to be more than a big-play guy at WR? Or will Kendall Wright continue to be solid, but actually catch more than 2 TDs? Will Nate Washington’s production still be consistent? Hunter has the most upside for what his price is, but the Titans continued balanced scheme with their depth still makes most of their team tough to play.

View all posts by Nick Juskewycz
Nick Juskewycz

About the Author

Sked Nick is a Daily Fantasy Sports enthusiast and a former Bleacher Report Featured Columnist. Most of his time is dedicated to the sports world in front of several televisions, monitors and a projector. This involves researching, writing, watching games or simply keeping up to date on news.He graduated with honors from Bowling Green State University with a degree in sport management and journalism. Furthermore, Nick was a radio play-by-play and color commentator for Bowling Green football, men's basketball, women's basketball and baseball. He also has experience working with the BGSU athletic department.Follow @NickJuskewycz

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