2015 WGC Cadillac Championship: Preview, Strategy and Picks
Finally a WGC event with all the top players in the world…literally. For the first time since the 2012 PGA Championship, each of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Rankings will be participating in the same golf event. The 2015 WGC Cadillac Championship will bring tremendous excitement.
Plus, for daily fantasy players, just about anything will beat last week’s Honda Classic, which was filled with constant bogeys, horrendous weather and several of the top players missing the cut. At least we told you to fade Rory McIlroy (spoiler alert: we recommend doing the same thing here for the same reason).
We are going to dive into Trump National Dural and give you the details of the golf course, but the strategy this week is pretty simple – odds per dollar. DraftKings has done a fairly solid job with the pricing against the odds at the sportsbooks this year. That’s not the case this week. There are several golfers in play to choose from to create your lineup. We’ll give you one of our favorite lineups to help you get started, but remember, just go to our odds per dollar tab and you’ll see what we see (joining Daily Fantasy Winners is free!).
Breaking Down TPC Blue Monster at Trump National Doral
Unlike last week where there were only two par 5s and not many chances for birdies or eagles, Doral is the opposite. The winning score is typically somewhere between 15 and 20-under par. With ridiculously horrible weather and tough scoring conditions, ignore the 4-under winning score last year. A total of 318 golf balls were hit into the water in 2014, which easily surpassed the previous record of 220 in 2004. An additional 147 yards was added to the track last year, but needless to say, expect low numbers and constant leaderboard changes this year because that won’t happen again.
The Blue Monster is a par 72 at 7,481 yards. The par 5s are No. 1 (572 yards), No. 8 (549 yards), No. 10 (614 yards) and No. 12 (601 yards). The wind is going to be the x-factor for how often players go for the greens in two, but the short version is that length off the tee is needed for eagles. The only hole that everyone in the field can hit in two on a day with no wind is No. 8, and that hole has a forced carry over water to a somewhat small green.
No. 16 (341 yards) is possible to drive, however, the players will have to carry water and bunkers most of the way, and you’ll only see someone like Bubba Watson go for it if it’s playing downwind. Essentially, the par 5s are the only place where you will see eagles unless it’s luck on a hole-out. There were a total of 24 eagles made in 2013 (2014 only had 16 no fewer than 20 this year. With the weather expected to cooperate this week, length is the key to capturing as many of those eagles as you can.
Strategy and Picks
There are three elements for our criteria with the first being the most important. 1. Odds per dollar (since the pricing is particularly off this week). 2. Driving distance 3. Birdie or better percentage.
All of these picks have fantastic odds per dollar value. The short details next to each player are just bonus reasons.
Paul Casey $7,900 – Has finished tied for third and tied for second the last two weeks. Those fields weren’t exactly weak ones either. Casey has solid length off the tee and is ninth in birdie or better percentage.
Jason Day $10,900 – As I’ve said in previous articles, I think Day is the best golfer in the world not named Rory McIlroy, and Day’s game really isn’t that far behind Rory’s. Day hasn’t finished worse than tied for 17th in any event this season, and he’s finished in the top five in three of his four events this calendar year, which includes a victory at the Farmers Insurance Open. He’s 13th in driving distance and second in birdie or better percentage. Now that he’s healthy, you should ride him until his salary spikes to something more reasonable.
Jamie Donaldson $7,100 – Arguably the best odds per dollar play. He’s not that long of a hitter or that high up on the birdie-or-better percentage list, but his value is too good to pass up. Donaldson hasn’t missed a cut all season on the PGA Tour or European Tour, and Donaldson is particularly playing well as of late after finishing sixth last week at the Honda Classic
Brooks Koepka $8,300 – Like most of these picks, Koepka hasn’t missed a cut all season. He captured the Waste Management Phoenix Open with his outrageous length, and he’s second in that stat at 309.8 yards off the tee. He’s 33rd in birdie or better percentage, but he’s second in eagles (holes per).
Hunter Mahan $6,600 – Mahan is similar to Donaldson in that his value is too good to pass up. Mahan has comfortably made all seven of his cuts this season.
Jimmy Walker $9,200 – Walker has made all nine of his cuts, four of those were in the top 10 and one ended up in a victory at the Sony Open. Because of this, Walker is No. 1 in the FedEx Cup Standings. Walker is also a superb 19th in driving distance and fourth in birdie or better percentage.
Bet Big on Fantasy Golf this week in DraftKings 300k Miami Classic. The $300 to enter tournament will award $100,000 for 1st, and if you sign up through this link, you’ll earn a 100% bonus on your first deposit! The tournament starts tomorrow morning, so don’t wait to sign up.View all posts by Nick Juskewycz