2015 Waste Management Phoenix Open: Preview, Strategy and Picks
The 2015 Waste Management Phoenix Open is one of the most anticipated events in the tournament’s history. Why? The field is loaded with superb talent, and it’s a bit unusual.
This is primarily highlighted by the return and 2015 debut of Tiger Woods. Tiger hasn’t played at the Phoenix since 2001, and who could forget two of Woods’ greatest moments in his career at TPC Scottsdale?
First, in 1997, he jugged one for an ace at the stadium hole, No. 16. Secondly, in 1999, Woods called upon the fans to move a huge boulder, which is considered a loose impediment in the rules, This way, Woods could give a full swing to the green.
This alone will get plenty of daily fantasy players to make lineups this week. But on top of Woods, the tournament will feature several golf stars, including defending champion Bubba Watson, Jordan Spieth, Matt Kuchar, Rickie Fowler, Phil Mickelson and Patrick Reed.
Odds Per $ Tool Added to Daily Fantasy Winners
One thing we have talked about (enter Phil Simms voice there) is that odds per $ for each golfer is the most important thing to consider every week. Luckily for daily fantasy players, we have now added this tab to our tools section. This way, you can see what we are looking at when determining the greatest differentials from the sportsbooks’ odds to their prices on DraftKings.
Again, sportsbooks know what they are doing, but the algorithms by the daily fantasy sites can have some inaccurate pricing. Therefore, it’s a simple and effective way to get an edge on the daily fantasy competition.
One thing we have discovered is that DraftKings has done a much better job with their pricing for PGA fantasy this year. There aren’t as many, or in some cases any, significant differentials, and we have to somewhat nitpick the odds. They have also made the top players more expensive, and that was a wise move on their part to make high-low strategies less effective.
Still, each tournament must be looked at separately, and we must go with what the odds and DraftKings presents us. More on this later.
Breaking Down TPC Scottsdale Stadium Course
The Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale tips out at 7,261 yards and is a par 71. Add that the ground is dry playing in the desert, the ball will be rolling plenty this week.
There are three par 5s – No. 3 at 554 yards, No. 13 at 595 yards and No. 15 at 552 yards. All of them are reachable in two. However, No. 17 is a 332-yard par 4 that is certainly driveable for the longer hitters. Last year between those four holes, 40 eagles were made.
Therefore, if an opportunity presents itself, we want to go with the longer hitter or one that converts more eagles per round. This is because birdies and eagles are worth such a great amount in comparison to bogeys or worse negatively.
As for the winner score – expect it to be somewhere in the 15-to-20-under range.
Instead of giving a specific lineup this week, we’ll list the best plays in terms of top, middle and low-tier salaries. All of these players will have some of the best odds for the tournament. Most of these will also be longer hitters or have a high ranking in birdie percentage or better.
Remember, you want to use as much salary as possible. So, you may not be able to use six guys from this list. When making a couple different lineups, you may want to use four or five of them. Then use one or two guys who are simply playing well as of late, or high up on the birdie or better percentage list.
Jordan Spieth $13,400
Hideki Matsuyama $10,700
Patrick Reed $10,500
Gary Woodland $9,400
Jamie Donaldson $7,200
Martin Laird $7,100
Cameron Tringale $6,000
Michael Putnam $4,800
Kyle Stanley $4,300
Jhonattan Vegas $3,900
Justin Hicks $3,600View all posts by Nick Juskewycz